RHD's Latest Top 150 Roto Prospects (Special "Deaccat" Edition)

[rhd]

Deaccat asked me to post a new list, so here it is. Lots of new additions, partly due to heavy attrition. I had planned to wait until after the end of the MLB season, but this way I beat BA's League Top 20 Prospects lists, which they'll be beginning shortly. I probably wont post another one until rt before BA starts doing its Team Top 10 lists.

Same spiel as usual: I generally follow BA's prospect eligibility requirements, which are <=130 MLB AB or <=50 MLB IP. Unlike BA tho, amateurs, unsigned draftees and foreign players are eligible. Also, while BA has a different IP limit for relievers (30 IP?), relievers are eligible as long as they dont have >50 IP. As usual, this is for roto, not 'real' baseball, so pitchers are downgraded some, catchers downgraded somewhat (unless they're elite prospects and their bat will play at any position), and actual closers are upgraded a lot, SB guys who project to get playing time get upgraded some, and guys who either currently are or project to soon be regulars can get upgraded quite a bit. Position listed is their current primary one to the best of my knowledge (correct me if I'm wrong), not the one they're likely to end up at.

In addition to posting the list here, I've created a new Google Doc that has the list. Link:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Wy6fMDr2MBG2TrFq3JPgW4L-smrfndQvh9TCzQb1pT8/edit?usp=sharing

Let me know if this doesnt work.

Rank Name Pos Org -/+ Prev
1 Corey Seager SS LAD 2 3
2 Byron Buxton OF Min 0 2
3 Yoan (Johan) Moncada 2B Bos 4 7
4 Julio Urias SP LAD 5 9
5 Lucas Giolito SP Was 5 10
6 J.P. (John Paul) Crawford SS Phi 10 16
7 Luis Severino SP NYY 31 38
8 Tyler Glasnow SP Pit 10 18
9 Alex Reyes SP StL 34 43
10 Joey Gallo 3B Tex -6 4
11 Dansby Swanson SS Ari 8 19
12 Michael Conforto OF NYM 42 54
13 Hector Olivera 2B Atl -5 8
14 Jose Peraza OF LAD 3 17
15 Nomar Mazara OF Tex 13 28
16 A.J. Reed 1B Hou NR NA
17 Shohei Otani SP Japan 15 32
18 Jose Orlando (J.O.) Berrios SP Min 24 42
19 Trea Turner SS Was 15 34
20 Manuel Margot OF Bos 1 21
21 Alex Bregman SS Hou -1 20
22 Brendan Rodgers SS Col 2 24
23 Bradley Zimmer OF Cle 10 33
24 Aaron Judge OF NYY 49 73
25 Rafael Devers 3B Bos 10 35
26 Orlando Arcia SS Mil 27 53
27 Brett Phillips OF Mil 53 80
28 Franklin Barreto SS Oak -6 22
29 Jorge Mateo SS NYY 19 48
30 Andrew Benintendi OF Bos 53 83
31 Blake Snell SP TB 99 130
32 Jose De Leon SP LAD 84 116
33 Arodys Vizcaino RP Atl NR NA
34 Steve Matz SP NYM 5 39
35 Dalton Pompey OF Tor -9 26
36 Raimel Tapia OF Col 20 56
37 Tim Anderson SS CHW 20 57
38 Clint Frazier OF Cle 12 50
39 Jesse Winker OF Cin 16 55
40 Josh Bell 1B Pit 20 60
41 Sean Newcomb SP LAA 77 118
42 Billy McKinney OF CHC 33 75
43 Anthony Alford OF Tor NR NA
44 Victor Robles OF Was NR NA
45 Anderson Espinoza SP Bos NR NA
46 Ryan McMahon 3B Col 28 74
47 Austin Meadows OF Pit 2 49
48 Nick Williams OF Phi 34 82
49 David Dahl OF Col 32 81
50 Trevor Story SS Col 65 115
51 Lewis Brinson OF Tex 58 109
52 Ozhaino Albies SS Atl 27 79
53 Gleyber Torres SS CHC 34 87
54 Brent Honeywell SP TB 77 131
55 Robert Stephenson SP Cin -9 46
56 Archie Bradley SP Ari -29 27
57 Hunter Renfroe OF SD 4 61
58 Alex Jackson OF Sea -33 25
59 Alfredo Despaigne OF Cuba 12 71
60 Derek Fisher OF Hou NR NA
61 Domingo Santana OF Mil NR NA
62 Dazmon Cameron OF Hou 85 147
63 Kyle Tucker OF Hou 85 148
64 Raul (Adalberto) Mondesi SS KC 30 94
65 Daniel Robertson SS TB -14 51
66 Henry Owens SP Bos -19 47
67 Richie Shaffer 3B TB NR NA
68 Max Kepler 1B Min NR NA
69 Greg Bird 1B NYY NR NA
70 Roman Quinn OF Phi 6 76
71 Micah Johnson 2B CHW 21 92
72 Jake (Aaron) Thompson SP Phi 31 103
73 Aaron Blair SP Ari 18 91
74 Michael Fulmer SP Det NR NA
75 Francis Martes SP Hou NR NA
76 Grant Holmes SP LAD 28 104
77 Jonathan Gray SP Col 9 86
78 Mark Appel SP Hou -13 65
79 Wilmer Difo SS Was -1 78
80 Sean Manaea SP Oak -13 67
81 Alen Hanson 2B Pit 18 99
82 Brandon Nimmo OF NYM -30 52
83 Forrest Wall 2B Col 14 97
84 Nick Gordon SS Min -26 58
85 Dillon Tate SP Tex 60 145
86 Braden Shipley SP Ari -22 64
87 Hunter Harvey SP Bal -21 66
88 Bobby Bradley 1B Cle NR NA
89 Marco Gonzales SP StL -1 88
90 Brandon Finnegan SP Cin 22 112
91 Jameson Taillon SP Pit -28 63
92 Kolby Allard SP Atl NR NA
93 Francellis Montas SP CHW 29 122
94 Michael Feliz SP Hou 23 117
95 Reynaldo Lopez SP Was -23 72
96 Mallex Smith OF Atl 18 114
97 Rob Kaminsky SP Cle NR NA
98 Jack Flaherty SP StL NR NA
99 Brian Johnson SP Bos 41 140
100 Guillermo Heredia OF FA NR NA
101 Tyler Beede SP SF 34 135
102 Carson Fulmer SP CHW 44 146
103 Tyler Jay SP Min 46 149
104 Rymer Liriano OF SD 9 113
105 Jorge Polanco SS Min NR NA
106 Javier Guerra SS Bos NR NA
107 Willy Adames SS TB 3 110
108 Tyler O'Neill OF Sea NR NA
109 Renato Nunez 3B Oak 19 128
110 Matt Olson 1B Oak -14 96
111 Albert Almora OF CHC -13 98
112 A.J. Cole SP Was -12 100
113 Touki Toussaint SP Atl 6 119
114 Edwin Diaz SP Sea 18 132
115 Duane Underwood SP CHC NR NA
116 Spencer Adams SP CHW 18 134
117 Luis Ortiz SP Tex 16 133
118 Kohl Stewart SP Min -28 90
119 Dylan Bundy SP Bal -74 45
120 Yadier Alvarez SP LAD 0 120
121 Ian Happ 2B CHC NR NA
122 Matt Chapman 3B Oak NR NA
123 Taylor Guerrieri SP TB 19 142
124 Stephen Gonsalves SP Min NR NA
125 Justus Sheffield SP Cle 19 144
126 Miguel Almonte SP KC NR NA
127 Keury Mella SP Cin NR NA
128 Amir Garrett SP Cin NR NA
129 Trenton Clark OF Mil NR NA
130 Cornelius Randolph OF Phi NR NA
131 Ruddy Giron SS SD NR NA
132 Tyler Kolek SP Mia -62 70
133 Aaron Altherr OF Phi NR NA
134 Brandon Drury 3B Ari 3 137
135 Jacob Nottingham C Oak NR NA
136 Amed Rosario SS NYM 2 138
137 Dominic Smith 1B NYM NR NA
138 Richard Urena SS Tor NR NA
139 Jomar Reyes 3B Bal NR NA
140 Jorge Lopez SP Mil NR NA
141 Zach Davies SP Mil NR NA
142 Josh Hader SP Mil NR NA
143 Gavin Cecchini SS NYM NR NA
144 Harold Ramirez OF Pit NR NA
145 Andy Ibanez 2B Tex -40 105
146 Kyle Zimmer SP KC -61 85
147 Jeff Hoffman SP Col -85 62
148 Randy Arozarena OF Cuba-FA NR NA
149 Jorge Ona OF Cuba-FA NR NA
150 Kenta Maeda SP Japan 0 150

Players removed because of exceeding of eligibility requirements (30):
C Correa (#1), M Sano (#5), C Rodon (#6), F Lindor (#11), E Rodriguez (#12), N Syndergaard (#13), R Castillo (#14), D Norris (#15), K Schwarber (#23), D Herrera (#29), J Kang (#30), A Guerrero (#31), L McCullers (#36), M Lorenzen (#37), A Nola (#40), A Heaney (#41), D DeShields (#44), S Piscotty (#59), A Gonzalez (#68), M Wisler (#69), K Marte (#77), B Swihart (#84), J Ross (#101), V Velasquez (#102), P Tucker (#106), R Rua (#107), G Urshela (#108), R Iglesias (#111), C Smith (#129), E Rosario (#139),

Eligibles that dropped off (12):
A Meyer (#89), A Aquino (#93), T Taylor (#95), M Molina (#121), A Velazquez (#123), DJ Peterson (#124), G Guerrero (#125), T Hernandez (#126), M Harrison (#127), P Ervin (#136), K Crick (#141), T Kemp (#143)

New additions (42):
AJ Reed, A Vizcaino (back on, I think), A Alford, V Robles, A Espiinoza, D Fisher, D Santana (back on), R Shaffer, M Kepler, G Bird, M Fulmer (back on), F Martes, B Bradley, K Allard, R Kaminsky, J Flaherty, G Heredia, J Polanco (back on, I think), J Guerra, T O'Neill, D Underwood, I Happ, M Chapman, S Gonzales, M Almonte (back on), K Mella, A Garrett, T Clark, C Randolph, R Giron, A Altherr, J Nottingham, D Smith (back on), R Urena, J Reyes, J Lopez, Z Davies, J Hader (back on, I think), Gav Cecchini, H Ramirez (back on), R Arozarena, J Ona

As always, comments are not only welcome but encouraged. Enjoy!

[Sharky]

I'm glad he asked! Thanks rhd!!!

Are you ranking for dynasty leagues or standard leagues? I'm trying to figure out the implications for standard leagues (with more limited minor league slots and no "keep forever" provisions).

Specific example: Brendan Rodgers would seem to be a number of years away, so despite his ceiling, I might have expected to see him a bit lower down the list.

Thoughts on realistic ETA (year and early or late in season) for guys like Tim Anderson, Raimel Tapia, Aaron Judge?

None of this intended as criticism; love the lists and just want to make best use of them.

Thanks as always rhd!!

[luckyheel]

Love this...

Thanks to dumping, I now have 5 of your top 14 for the NL (Seager, Urias, Crawford, Swanson, Peraza) and 5 of the top 28 in AL (Gallo, Moncada, Mazara, Judge, Baretto)

[rhd]

I'm glad he asked! Thanks rhd!!!

Are you ranking for dynasty leagues or standard leagues? I'm trying to figure out the implications for standard leagues (with more limited minor league slots and no "keep forever" provisions).

Specific example: Brendan Rodgers would seem to be a number of years away, so despite his ceiling, I might have expected to see him a bit lower down the list.

Thoughts on realistic ETA (year and early or late in season) for guys like Tim Anderson, Raimel Tapia, Aaron Judge?

None of this intended as criticism; love the lists and just want to make best use of them.

Thanks as always rhd!!

Thanx as always for your response and props, Sharky.

The list is for standard leagues where you can only keep prospects for several years after they get to MLB. I'm not in any dynasty leagues.

Elite prospects drafted out of HS, like Brendan Rodgers, are not as far away from MLB as many think. IIRC, the Upton brothers each debuted at age 19 and Harper at age 18. Rodgers might be in MLB as soon as late 2017, altho 2018 seems more realistic. The guys that are really far away are the super young Dominican and Venezuelan kids so those that make the list at all usually are farther down. An exception is Anderson Espinoza, who despite being only 17 still have is ranked pretty high. That's partly because he's considered such a stud talent (people are projecting him as a potential true ace already) and partly because pitchers can develop much faster than position players.

Anderson I expect might be up sometime in 2016, probably late season. Tapia I'll guess sometime in 2017. Judge should be up sometime next year, possibly early. I think the Yanks will make room for him somewhere.

[rhd]

Love this...

Thanks to dumping, I now have 5 of your top 14 for the NL (Seager, Urias, Crawford, Swanson, Peraza) and 5 of the top 28 in AL (Gallo, Moncada, Mazara, Judge, Baretto)

Lucky you!

[james33]

1) Great list!

2) Thank you too for sharing the google ss!

3) OF Phil Ervin - I still like his combo of power and speed, and his K numbers weren't too bad, with high BB too. I know the prospect raters don't like him, but you've had him in your list recently - curious what changed your mind about him?

4) 2B-OF Peraza - what role do you see for him on the Dodgers next year?

5) SP Yadier Alvarez- any idea how he's doing? I didn't find much from the google. But top international prospect says http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2015?list=int

6) SP Pierce Johnson - too old, doesn't strike out enough guys? Just 4 HR in 95 IP though - groundball pitcher/upside? Curious how close he is to your top 150.

Thanks again for your great list and thinking!

[rhd]

1) Great list!

2) Thank you too for sharing the google ss!

3) OF Phil Ervin - I still like his combo of power and speed, and his K numbers weren't too bad, with high BB too. I know the prospect raters don't like him, but you've had him in your list recently - curious what changed your mind about him?

4) 2B-OF Peraza - what role do you see for him on the Dodgers next year?

5) SP Yadier Alvarez- any idea how he's doing? I didn't find much from the google. But top international prospect says http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2015?list=int

6) SP Pierce Johnson - too old, doesn't strike out enough guys? Just 4 HR in 95 IP though - groundball pitcher/upside? Curious how close he is to your top 150.

Thanks again for your great list and thinking!

Thanx as always for your response, James.

I still like Ervin and he's not far off the list and probably will be back on after more players lose their eligibility before season's end. His year this year is considerably better than last year's disaster but it's still disappointing. Top prospects should be generating better performance, particularly those that aare slightly old for their leagues. I tried to keep Ervin on but I had to move some players off in order to put on those that I really wanted on.

I would assume that the Dodgers traded for Peraza for a reason and that they intend for him to be their starting 2Bman, SS or OFer soon. Their aging middle IFers arent signed beyond this year unless options are picked up. But the Dodgers' OF looks like a mess now so he might be more useful to them out there. But Crawford, Ethier and Puig all are signed thru 2017. Puig is tradeable, and it sounds like they want to, but Crawford and Ethier not so much. And they'll want to play Pederson. So, I dont know w Peraza. He may be a bench player for the time being until they figure what to do w all their underperforming former stars.

Havent heard anything about Alvarez. I assume he's in instructs and will start playing next year.

Yeah, Johnson;s K rate is underwhelming and BA ranked him only #10 on their mid-season Cubs list. He's #247 rt now.

[Sharky]

You're the man, rhd!!

[chancellor]

Rhd- great stuff, as usual. Do you see Aaron Judge starting for the Yankees next year?

[Ryno84MVP]

Great list RHD, but at least a few more top 50 players will be dropping-off, namely Byron Buxton (currently at 115 at-bats), Michael Conforto (128 at-bats), Arodys Vizcaino (47.1 innings) and maybe Joey Gallo (105 at-bats)

[rhd]

Rhd- great stuff, as usual. Do you see Aaron Judge starting for the Yankees next year?

Thanx for your response, chancellor.

I expect Judge to be starting sometime in 2016, but perhaps not on opening day. I'm guessing later in the year.

[rhd]

Great list RHD, but at least a few more top 50 players will be dropping-off, namely Byron Buxton (currently at 115 at-bats), Michael Conforto (128 at-bats), Arodys Vizcaino (47.1 innings) and maybe Joey Gallo (105 at-bats)

Right. I figure 10-12 more guys on the list will exceed eligibility by season's end.

[deaccat]

Thanks so much rhd! Your list has helped me create a true dynasty's! Your the man! Love the title! Haha

[rhd]

Thanks so much rhd! Your list has helped me create a true dynasty's! Your the man! Love the title! Haha

You're welcome!

[Grinch]

Great list, thanks again. It may be interesting to see how much Bundy moves from now to the pre-season list if he's able to stay on the mound. He's out of options and unless he shows something in the spring, the O's are going to be in a bit of a bind.