2k15: Over/Under Confidence picks (by MLB team)

[Fresno Bob]

24 here, going with Oakland over as my 10 pointer wasn't a good sign

[Pauly]

10 CHICAGO CUBS 82.5 under
9 SAN DIEGO 84.5 under
8 CINCINNATI 77.5 over
7 MINNESOTA 72.5 over
6 DETROIT 84.5 under
5 WASHINGTON 93.5 under
4 LA DODGERS 92.5 under (by half a win lol)
3 LA ANGELS 88.5 under
2 HOUSTON 75.5 over
1 TEXAS 76.5 under
ERA 4.15 (predict) vs. 3.38 actual

Total: 36 points

Well if only I didnt blow 2 of my highest money bets I probably would've won

[DMT]

24 here, going with Oakland over as my 10 pointer wasn't a good sign

Same here, but 25

[joncarlos]

OK, I'll put up a Google sheet tomorrow with everyone's picks. Here are mine:

10pts Cincy under 77.5
9pts Texas under 76.5
8pts Atlanta under 73.5
7pts Mets over 81.5
6pts Cubs over 82.5
5pts KC under 80.5
4pts Miami over 82.5
3pts TB over 78.5
2pts HOU over 75.5
1pt CLE over 84.5

Liriano 3.44 ERA

10pts Cincy under 77.5 -sweet
9pts Texas under 76.5 -whoops
8pts Atlanta under 73.5 ---sweet (up to 18 pts)
7pts Mets over 81.5 --- sweet (up to 25)
6pts Cubs over 82.5 ---- sweet (up to 31)
5pts KC under 80.5 --- I always get them wrong
4pts Miami over 82.5 ---- well now that wasn't very good
3pts TB over 78.5 --- they actually made it (up to 34)
2pts HOU over 75.5 -- should have bet more on them (up to 36)
1pt CLE over 84.5 --- nope, but at least they were close

36 isn't bad. And I almost nailed Liriano's 3.38 ERA

[Kevin Seitzer]

Houston over - 10 points
Texas under - 0 points
Pittsburgh over - 8 points
Tampa Bay over - 7 points
Cincinnati under - 6 points
San Francisco over - 5 points (barely)
Philadelphia under - 4 points
LA Angels under - 3 points
Toronto under - 0 points
Washington over - 0 points

43 points total

[TranaGreg]

Houston over - 10 points
Texas under - 0 points
Pittsburgh over - 8 points
Tampa Bay over - 7 points
Cincinnati under - 6 points
San Francisco over - 5 points (barely)
Philadelphia under - 4 points
LA Angels under - 3 points
Toronto under - 0 points
Washington over - 0 points

43 points total

sure, it's easy with insider intel

[rhd]

10. Baltimore - over 82.5
9. Texas - under 76.5
8. Detroit - over 84.5
7. San Francisco - over 83.5
6. Mets - over 81.5
5. Toronto - over 82.5
4. Kansas City - over 80.5
3. Cubs - under 82.5
2. Boston - under 86.5
1. Philadelphia - under 67.5

Liriano - 3.46

These odds seem a lot more conservative this year. It's like Las Vegas really isnt confident about their predictions.

10 - 81 W - 0 pts Ouch
9 - 88 W - 0 pts OUCH
8 - 74 W - 0 pts OUCH!!
7 - 84 W - 7 pts
6 - 90 W - 6 pts
5 - 93 W - 5 pts
4 - 95 W - 4 pts
3 - 97 W - 0 pts
2 - 78 W - 2 pts
1 - 63 W - 1 pt
--------
25 pts

Except for Baltimore, the ones I was off on I was WAY off.

[Erik]

10. TORONTO 82.5 OVER
9. CLEVELAND 84.5 OVER
8. LA ANGELS 88.5 UNDER
7. OAKLAND 81.5 OVER
6. BOSTON 86.5 UNDER
5. CHICAGO WS 81.5 OVER
4. TEXAS 76.5 UNDER
3. KANSAS CITY 80.5 OVER
2. SAN FRANCISCO 83.5 OVER
1. TAMPA BAY 78.5 UNDER

Liriano ERA: 3.85

10 + 0 + 8 + 0 + 6 + 0 + 0 + 3 + 2 + 0 = 29. Eesh.

[joncarlos]

I did not realize the Rockies actually hit the over
ditto the Dodgers were under
ditto the Giants were over
ditto the D-Backs were over
(in summary, I did not pay enough attention to the NLW this year)

We all took a bath on the Marlins

[joncarlos]

So, since Tranagreg can't add, and KS has insider info, I guess I win

1. Kevin Seitzer 43
2. Tranagreg 41
3. JC 36 (3.44 ERA)
4. Pauly 36 (4.15 ERA)
5. Bryanbutler 33

[joncarlos]

10 - Hou over - yes
9 - Cubs over - yes makes 19
8 - Bos under - yes makes 27
7 - Tor over - yes makes 34
6 - Tampa under
5 - ChiWS over
4 - KC over - yes makes 38
3 - San Diego over
2 - LA Angels under - yes makes 40
1 - Mia under - yes makes 41

Liriano – 4.80

Fixed for bad math

[TranaGreg]

So, since Tranagreg can't add, and KS has insider info, I guess I win

1. Kevin Seitzer 43
2. Tranagreg 41
3. JC 36 (3.44 ERA)
4. Pauly 36 (4.15 ERA)
5. Bryanbutler 33

I guess my posturing to be hired by a major league team as a stats nerd just went out the window.

Then again, I came second to KS!!! woot!!!