RHD's Latest Top 150 Roto Prospects ("Pre-Season" Edition)

[rhd]

Here's the latest list (previous list from 1/19/22). 16 new names.

The usual litany: I generally follow BA's prospect eligibility requirements, which are <=130 MLB AB or <=50 MLB IP. Unlike BA tho, amateurs, unsigned draftees and foreign players are eligible. Also, while BA has a different IP limit for relievers (30 IP?), relievers are eligible as long as they dont have >50 IP. As usual, this is for roto, not 'real' baseball, so pitchers are downgraded some, catchers downgraded somewhat (unless they're elite prospects and their bat will play at any position), and actual closers are upgraded a lot, SB guys who project to get playing time get upgraded some, and guys who either currently are or project to soon be regulars can get upgraded quite a bit. Position listed is their current primary one to the best of my knowledge (correct me if I'm wrong), not the one they're likely to end up at.

Rank Name Pos Org Prev +/-
1 Bobby Witt, Jr. SS KC 1 0
2 Julio Rodriguez OF Sea 2 0
3 C.J. Abrams SS SD 3 0
4 Spencer Torkelson 1B Det 6 2
5 Riley Greene OF Det 4 -1
6 Adley Rutschman C Bal 5 -1
7 Anthony Volpe SS NYY 7 0
8 Oneil Cruz SS Pit 8 0
9 Corbin Carroll OF Ari 13 4
10 Zac Veen OF Col 9 -1
11 Noelvi Marte SS Sea 10 -1
12 Brennen Davis OF CHC 11 -1
13 Seiya Suzuki OF CHC 40 27
14 Shane Baz SP TB 12 -2
15 Marcelo Mayer SS Bos 15 0
16 Robert Hassell OF SD 16 0
17 Alek Thomas OF Ari 17 0
18 Marco Luciano SS SF 18 0
19 Josh Lowe OF TB 24 5
20 Triston Casas 1B Bos 14 -6
21 Grayson Rodriguez SP Bal 21 0
22 George Kirby SP Sea 22 0
23 Jordan Walker 3B StL 26 3
24 Josh Jung 3B Tex 19 -5
25 Jordan Lawlar SS Ari 20 -5
26 Nolan Gorman 3B StL 25 -1
27 Druw (Andruw) Jones OF HS 27 0
28 Termarr Johnson 2B HS 46 18
29 Nick Yorke 2B Bos 32 3
30 Hunter Greene SP Cin 37 7
31 Austin Martin OF Min 33 2
32 Luis Matos OF SF 41 9
33 Kahlil Watson SS Mia 35 2
34 Brett Baty 3B NYM 30 -4
35 Vidal Brujan OF TB 28 -7
36 Orelvis Martinez SS Tor 42 6
37 Nick Gonzales 2B Pit 36 -1
38 Oswald Peraza SS NYY 31 -7
39 Jack Leiter SP Tex 43 4
40 Jeremy Pena SS Hou 70 30
41 Bryson Stott SS Phi 86 45
42 Reid Detmers SP LAA 39 -3
43 Cade Cavalli SP Was 38 -5
44 Michael Harris OF Atl 45 1
45 Royce Lewis SS Min 44 -1
46 Brady House SS Was 47 1
47 Jasson Dominguez OF NYY 34 -13
48 George Valera OF Cle 48 0
49 Brayan Rocchio SS Cle 49 0
50 Daniel Espino SP Cle 50 0
51 Eury Perez SP Mia 53 2
52 Nick Lodolo SP Cin 51 -1
53 Edward Cabrera SP Mia 52 -1
54 Jarren Duran OF Bos 23 -31
55 Jose Israel Barrero (Garcia) SS Cin 29 -26
56 Cristian Hernandez SS CHC 95 39
57 Sal Frelick OF Mil 56 -1
58 Greg Jones SS TB 55 -3
59 Garrett Mitchell OF Mil 57 -2
60 Colton Cowser OF Bal 61 1
61 Gabriel Moreno C Tor 62 1
62 Francisco Alvarez C NYM 63 1
63 Tyler Soderstrom C Oak 64 1
64 Matt Brash SP Sea 98 34
65 Joe Ryan SP Min 96 31
66 Nick Pratto 1B KC 76 10
67 Elly De La Cruz 3B Cin 129 62
68 Liover Peguero SS Pit 60 -8
69 Max Meyer SP Mia 65 -4
70 Jose Miranda 3B Min 94 24
71 Michael Busch 2B LAD 87 16
72 Miguel Vargas 3B LAD 59 -13
73 Cole Winn SP Tex 82 9
74 Bobby Miller SP LAD 83 9
75 Matthew Liberatore SP StL 73 -2
76 Gunnar Henderson SS Bal 66 -10
77 Ronny Mauricio SS NYM 67 -10
78 Gabriel Arias SS Cle 72 -6
79 Andy Pages OF LAD 88 9
80 Brooks Lee SS College 105 25
81 Jace Jung 2B College 104 23
82 Jacob Berry 3B College NR NA
83 Elijah Green OF HS 107 24
84 Dylan Crews OF College NR NA
85 MacKenzie Gore SP SD 81 -4
86 Jordan Groshans SS Tor 68 -18
87 Matt McLain SS Cin 111 24
88 Heliot Ramos OF SF 69 -19
89 D.L. Hall SP Bal 79 -10
90 Aaron Ashby SP Mil 74 -16
91 Nate Pearson SP Tor 80 -11
92 Roansy Contreras SP Pit 97 5
93 Mick Abel SP Phi 84 -9
94 Jackson Jobe SP Det 118 24
95 Brice Turang SS Mil 90 -5
96 Mark Vientos 3B NYM 91 -5
97 Cristian Pache OF Oak 92 -5
98 Xavier Edwards 2B TB 93 -5
99 Keibert Ruiz C Was 100 1
100 Henry Davis C Pit 101 1
101 Seth Beer 1B Ari NR NA
102 Geraldo Perdomo SS Ari NR NA
103 Kyle Harrison SP SF 99 -4
104 Taj Bradley SP TB 85 -19
105 Quinn Priester SP Pit 78 -27
106 Chase DeLauter OF College 106 0
107 Dustin Harris 1B Tex 138 31
108 Joey Wiemer OF Mil 126 18
109 Curtis Mead 3B TB 127 18
110 Jordan Balazovic SP Min 103 -7
111 Luis Gil SP NYY 75 -36
112 Pete Crow-Armstrong OF CHC 114 2
113 Coby Mayo 3B Bal NR NA
114 Emerson Hancock SP Sea 77 -37
115 Brandon Williamson SP Cin 121 6
116 Blake Walston SP Ari 119 3
117 Ryne Nelson SP Ari 120 3
118 Hunter Brown SP Hou 122 4
119 Jordan Westburg SS Bal 123 4
120 Kyle Isbel OF KC NR NA
121 J.J. Bleday OF Mia 128 7
122 Juan Yepez 1B StL 143 21
123 Nolan Jones 3B Cle 89 -34
124 Luisangel (Jose) Acuna SS Tex 71 -53
125 Oswaldo Cabrera 2B NYY 113 -12
126 Everson Pereira OF NYY 115 -11
127 Kyren Paris SS LAA 124 -3
128 Ezequiel Tovar SS Col 133 5
129 Ezequiel Duran 2B Tex 135 6
130 Kevin Alcantara OF CHC 134 4
131 Eddys Leonard SS LAD 139 8
132 Benny Montgomery OF Col NR NA
133 James Wood OF SD NR NA
134 Blaze Jordan 3B Bos NR NA
135 Owen Caissie OF CHC NR NA
136 Jay Allen OF Cin NR NA
137 Reggie Preciado SS CHC NR NA
138 James Triantos 2B CHC NR NA
139 Trey Sweeney SS NYY NR NA
140 Steven Kwan OF Cle NR NA
141 Tyler Freeman SS Cle 58 -83
142 Justin Foscue 2B Tex 110 -32
143 Joe Barlow RP Tex 142 -1
144 Robert Suarez RP SD NR NA
145 Camilo Doval RP SF 109 -36
146 M.J. (Manuel) Melendez C KC 145 -1
147 Diego Cartaya C LAD 147 0
148 Jacob Gonzalez SS College NR NA
149 Kodai Senga SP Japan 149 0
150 Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP Japan 150 0

Removed because of ineligiblity (0):

Eligibles dropped off (16):
A Lacy (#102), D Waters (#108), H Perez (#112), K Muller (#116), L Medina (#117), M Wynn (#125), H Kjerstad (#130), R Pepiot (#131), D Herz (#132), Kh Lee (#136), J Smith (#137), B Bello (#140), S Strider (#141), J Noel (#144), J Bart (#146), L Campusano (#148)

As always, comments are not only welcome but encouraged. Enjoy!

[harmon]

Thanks for your work.

Would you be able to tier (maybe 4 levels)?

[rhd]

Thanks for your work.

Would you be able to tier (maybe 4 levels)?

Thanx for you response, harmon.

It's difficult to do definite tiers but in keeping this list, which I'm constantly updating and tweaking, I have in mind certain "cutoff points". I use this list in my fantasy drafts when I'm selecting my minor leaguers. That was the original purpose of the list. In particular, I've found that seldom do I select players that are below the 70-80 ranking on the list (my keeper leagues all have shallow farm systems). So in ranking the players on the list, I try not to place anyone above that "cutoff" that I dont feel I would realistically take in one of my current fantasy drafts. On this list, this cutoff point would be around #74, which is Bobby Miller.

For most lists, in general I think you can think of ranks 1-10 or so being the ultra-elite prospects which would correspond to 'A' level prospects. Ranks 11-30 or so would be the "A-minus" level prospects, 30-75 or so would be "B-plus" prospects and 76-125 or so would be the "B" prospects. That's why a list that goes past 100 is useful because not all of the "B" level prospects will fit on a top 100.

Hope that helps.

[harmon]

Thanx for you response, harmon.

It's difficult to do definite tiers but in keeping this list, which I'm constantly updating and tweaking, I have in mind certain "cutoff points". I use this list in my fantasy drafts when I'm selecting my minor leaguers. That was the original purpose of the list. In particular, I've found that seldom do I select players that are below the 70-80 ranking on the list (my keeper leagues all have shallow farm systems). So in ranking the players on the list, I try not to place anyone above that "cutoff" that I dont feel I would realistically take in one of my current fantasy drafts. On this list, this cutoff point would be around #74, which is Bobby Miller.

For most lists, in general I think you can think of ranks 1-10 or so being the ultra-elite prospects which would correspond to 'A' level prospects. Ranks 11-30 or so would be the "A-minus" level prospects, 30-75 or so would be "B-plus" prospects and 76-125 or so would be the "B" prospects. That's why a list that goes past 100 is useful because not all of the "B" level prospects will fit on a top 100.

Hope that helps.

Looking at your list at this point in time my cutoffs would be:

1-14
15 - 35
36 - 74
75+

So, I'm pretty close to your typical ranges. Good stuff.

[Ken]

Looking at your list at this point in time my cutoffs would be:

1-14
15 - 35
36 - 74
75+

So, I'm pretty close to your typical ranges. Good stuff.

My guesses on tiers here were very similar to yours

1-14
15-32
33-70
71+

[umjewman]

I love to see that I traded away numbers 8, 9 and 17 last year in a failed attempt to pursue a title. Insert sad face here.

[Ken]

I love to see that I traded away numbers 8, 9 and 17 last year in a failed attempt to pursue a title. Insert sad face here.

Yeah but flags fly... well never in this case

[pitbull]

I have been offered Bobby Miller who would be $2 when he comes up. I believe he should start in AA. I would imagine him all season in the minors but the back end of the Dodger rotation with Gonsolin, Heaney possible return of Bauer are all question mark. How do you perceive him arriving in the majors?

[umjewman]

Yeah but flags fly... well never in this case

I could print up a second place flag. It would be super sad, but I COULD do it.

[Ken]

I could print up a second place flag. It would be super sad, but I COULD do it.

Participation trophies are still trophies

[umjewman]

Participation trophies are still trophies

Wait, who said anything about trophies? We were talking about flags. Try and keep up.

[Ken]

Try and keep up.

Dang it, I'm so far behind, I'm never getting a trophy-flag now.

Can I request half?

[umjewman]

Dang it, I'm so far behind, I'm never getting a trophy-flag now.

Can I request half?

Would you rather have a trophy-flag or a flag-trophy?

[Gregg]

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This

[rhd]

I have been offered Bobby Miller who would be $2 when he comes up. I believe he should start in AA. I would imagine him all season in the minors but the back end of the Dodger rotation with Gonsolin, Heaney possible return of Bauer are all question mark. How do you perceive him arriving in the majors?

Miller could be up later this year, but I think next year is more likely. Even next year the Dodger rotation could be tough to crack, even for an excellent prospect. I wouldnt expect much MLB production from Miller this year.