2K21 Dynasty League Keepers

[BuckyBuckner]

My league mates and I started a dynasty league this year (not a great to start up a league like this but oh well) and I have no idea how to value my players. It's a 15 team mixed auction league with 5x5 categories: OPS, HR, RBI, R, SB x ERA, WHIP, W, SV, K. We draft 40 players in two separate auctions. The active 25 man rosters, 14 hitters and 11 pitchers, is one auction with a $270 budget. The reserve auction is for 15 players (hitters or pitchers) and has a $45 budget. We can keep 15 players and their salary increases by $5 each year if you keep them. Players with rookie eligibility (our league just uses 130 AB and 50 IP to determine this) only increase by $3. These players can be kept as a reserve player and come off the $45 budget. Here is my roster, I' adjusted the salaries to what they will cost in 2021:

Name Sal
Travis D'Arnaud $6
Tyler Stephenson $5
Freddie Freeman $48
Luke Voit $10
C.J. Cron $6
Marwin Gonzalez $6
Alec Bohm $6
Isiah Kiner-Falefa $6
J.D. Davis $6
Luis Urias $9
Jonathan Schoop $6
J.P. Crawford $7
Tim Anderson $22
Andrelton Simmons $6
Christian Yelich $61
Ender Inciarte $6
Hunter Renfroe $7
Jurickson Profar $14
Kole Calhoun $6
Ronald Acuna $56
Franmil Reyes $20
Austin Slater $6
Adrian Morejon $6
Andrew Miller $26
Aroldis Chapman $25
Brandon Workman $20
Charlie Morton $24
Chris Paddack $29
Jacob DeGrom $49
Jose Leclerc $6
Josh Hader $30
Madison Bumgarner $23
Mitch Keller $13
Rafael Dolis $20
Sean Doolittle $6
Tanner Houck $5
Trevor Rosenthal $6
Walker Buehler $46
Zac Gallen $17
Zack Greinke $32

I am really at a loss aside from some obvious players like Bohm and Voit. Other hitters that I think are keepers are: d'Arnaud, Freeman, Davis, Anderson, Acuna, Calhoun, Reyes. For pitchers Gallen is obvious and then maybe Buehler? I like Keller too? Then I have three potential closers for $1 with Rosenthal, Doolittle and Leclerc. But are they worth it for $6?

My feeling is that there will be a lot of inflation and the expensive guys will go for even more money so someone like Acuna at $56 will end up being a good price. Hard to know. What do you guys think? I've never done a league like this before.

[chancellor]

Hitting Stars I'd keep - Freeman and Acuna. I'd risk tossing Yelich back since he was so turrble last year.
Mid-Priced Keepers - Anderson and FReyes. Reyes bites a little since he's only DH eligible, but I don't see a good reason to toss him back at that price.
Low-Cost Keepers - D'Arnaud, Voit, JD Davis, Bohm, Calhoun, Schoop

Pitchers - DeGrom, Morton, Gallen. The difference between Buehler and Greinke is $14; I guess I'd keep Greinke for that cost difference if you want a fourth front-line SP.

[virgonomic]

Hitting Stars I'd keep - Freeman and Acuna. I'd risk tossing Yelich back since he was so turrble last year.
Mid-Priced Keepers - Anderson and FReyes. Reyes bites a little since he's only DH eligible, but I don't see a good reason to toss him back at that price.
Low-Cost Keepers - D'Arnaud, Voit, JD Davis, Bohm, Calhoun, Schoop

Pitchers - DeGrom, Morton, Gallen. The difference between Buehler and Greinke is $14; I guess I'd keep Greinke for that cost difference if you want a fourth front-line SP.

Agree with this. It would have been helpful to just post their 2021 salaries.

I also like Kiner-Falefa who might qualify at SS and should hit for a good average and steal some bags, as well as Paddack.

[harmon]

Tanner Houck is a nice dynasty piece.

Tim Anderson is more valuable with BA, probably doesn't make the cut with OPS.

[Ken]

Sorry for being that guy but "dynasty league" basically means you can keep your whole team. This is a typical keeper league.

In a Dynasty league you'd never consider cutting Walker Buehler.

[Gregg]

Sorry for being that guy but "dynasty league" basically means you can keep your whole team. This is a typical keeper league.

In a Dynasty league you'd never consider cutting Walker Buehler.

I agree...ish.

The Dynasty part seems to be that you can keep players forever with $5 yearly salary increases. I am not sure why they limit the teams to 15 keepers.

[Ken]

I agree...ish.

The Dynasty part seems to be that you can keep players forever with $5 yearly salary increases. I am not sure why they limit the teams to 15 keepers.

That's still not Dynasty.... Dynasty means you can keep your whole team forever (with some caveats - some leagues have rule 5 drafts for instance).

Even $5 increases suggest that eventually you'd have a player go past the salary cap.

Dynasty decisions are often very different than keeper decisions. That's why I bring it up.

[BuckyBuckner]

That's still not Dynasty.... Dynasty means you can keep your whole team forever (with some caveats - some leagues have rule 5 drafts for instance).

Even $5 increases suggest that eventually you'd have a player go past the salary cap.

Dynasty decisions are often very different than keeper decisions. That's why I bring it up.

This is true. It's more of a dynasty hybrid. We limited the number of keepers to make sure the auction is still a significant part of the season. It's modeled after this league: http://www.fantasyxperts.com/

[BuckyBuckner]

Tanner Houck is a nice dynasty piece.

Tim Anderson is more valuable with BA, probably doesn't make the cut with OPS.

Good call on Houck. He would only be a $3 increase so a salary of $5 next year.

You could be right on Anderson but he's a damn good hitter, 10 HR in 200 ABs last year with 5 SB. Not sure I see him as a 30 HR / 15 SB guy but 25 HR? I Like that for $22.

[BuckyBuckner]

Agree with this. It would have been helpful to just post their 2021 salaries.

I also like Kiner-Falefa who might qualify at SS and should hit for a good average and steal some bags, as well as Paddack.

I like IKF but he's really just an AVG guy with some steals and we don't count AVG. He was great when I could put him at catcher but I'm not sure $6 for him now at 3B to start the year makes the cut, especially with the other corner players I have. I'm sure I can trade him to someone though.

I'll adjust the salaries to reflect 2021.

[Ken]

This is true. It's more of a dynasty hybrid. We limited the number of keepers to make sure the auction is still a significant part of the season. It's modeled after this league: http://www.fantasyxperts.com/

Makes sense. It's extremely close to a keeper league. I guess if you buy a player young for cheap you might be able to keep him 5 or 6 years instead of just 3 (plus a potential raise), but otherwise it follows keeper decisions very, very closely.

For all intents and purposes I'd just call the league a standard keeper.

[BuckyBuckner]

Hitting Stars I'd keep - Freeman and Acuna. I'd risk tossing Yelich back since he was so turrble last year.
Mid-Priced Keepers - Anderson and FReyes. Reyes bites a little since he's only DH eligible, but I don't see a good reason to toss him back at that price.
Low-Cost Keepers - D'Arnaud, Voit, JD Davis, Bohm, Calhoun, Schoop

Pitchers - DeGrom, Morton, Gallen. The difference between Buehler and Greinke is $14; I guess I'd keep Greinke for that cost difference if you want a fourth front-line SP.

Hadn't really thought about Morton but in Atlanta that could be nice. I guess deGrom makes sense over Buehler, I just see Walker as someone who will continue to get better but deGrom is already what he will become. I see Greinke continuing to get worse. I don't see him being worth it for $32.

[virgonomic]

I like IKF but he's really just an AVG guy with some steals and we don't count AVG. He was great when I could put him at catcher but I'm not sure $6 for him now at 3B to start the year makes the cut, especially with the other corner players I have. I'm sure I can trade him to someone though.

That's fair.

[chancellor]

You could be right on Anderson but he's a damn good hitter, 10 HR in 200 ABs last year with 5 SB. Not sure I see him as a 30 HR / 15 SB guy but 25 HR? I Like that for $22.

Yup, that's where I am - he was 20 HR/26 SB in 2018 in a full season and 18 HR/17 SB in 2019 when he missed about 30 games with a high ankle sprain. And he's in prime years.

I forgot about the lower increase for Houck, good catch by harmon.

[BuckyBuckner]

Are people thinking Mitch Keller isn't a keeper?