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*Official Sports Wagering Thread*
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Gov Cuomo to "fully embrace" sports betting in NYS.
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so far all reports credit the NY Daily News, which references a statement not yet on Cuomo's website. should be clarified/confirmed in next two hours. NY would be largest state to offer mobile sports betting.finished 10th in this 37th yr in 11-team-only NL 5x5
own picks 1, 2, 5, 6, 9 in April 2022 1st-rd farmhand draft
won in 2017 15 07 05 04 02 93 90 84
SP SGray 16, TWalker 10, AWood 10, Price 3, KH Kim 2, Corbin 10
RP Bednar 10, Bender 10, Graterol 2
C Stallings 2, Casali 1
1B Votto 10, 3B ERios 2, 1B Zimmerman 2, 2S Chisholm 5, 2B Hoerner 5, 2B Solano 2, 2B LGarcia 10, SS Gregorius 17
OF Cain 14, Bader 1, Daza 1
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Originally posted by Judge Jude View Postso far all reports credit the NY Daily News, which references a statement not yet on Cuomo's website. should be clarified/confirmed in next two hours. NY would be largest state to offer mobile sports betting.
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well, NY hopes for $100 million in sports betting taxes annually - vs. an annual budget of $160 BILLION.
1 pct of that would be $1.6 billion. 1/10th of 1 pct, $160 million - and this would be not even that.
as Cuomo has said, "not even a rounding error."
it's more about consumer protection and weakening organized crime syndicates.finished 10th in this 37th yr in 11-team-only NL 5x5
own picks 1, 2, 5, 6, 9 in April 2022 1st-rd farmhand draft
won in 2017 15 07 05 04 02 93 90 84
SP SGray 16, TWalker 10, AWood 10, Price 3, KH Kim 2, Corbin 10
RP Bednar 10, Bender 10, Graterol 2
C Stallings 2, Casali 1
1B Votto 10, 3B ERios 2, 1B Zimmerman 2, 2S Chisholm 5, 2B Hoerner 5, 2B Solano 2, 2B LGarcia 10, SS Gregorius 17
OF Cain 14, Bader 1, Daza 1
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Originally posted by Judge Jude View Postwell, NY hopes for $100 million in sports betting taxes annually - vs. an annual budget of $160 BILLION.
1 pct of that would be $1.6 billion. 1/10th of 1 pct, $160 million.
as Cuomo has said, "not even a rounding error."
it's more about consumer protection and weakening organized crime syndicates.
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they also can divert part of the revenue to compulsive gambling assistance programs, which is needed with or without legal options.
also mobile sports betting is the "gateway drug" to online casino gaming, which is a bigger source of revenue (NJ gets more than twice as many tax dollars from that sector, which it legalized way back in 2013) though still in the "rounding error" category.finished 10th in this 37th yr in 11-team-only NL 5x5
own picks 1, 2, 5, 6, 9 in April 2022 1st-rd farmhand draft
won in 2017 15 07 05 04 02 93 90 84
SP SGray 16, TWalker 10, AWood 10, Price 3, KH Kim 2, Corbin 10
RP Bednar 10, Bender 10, Graterol 2
C Stallings 2, Casali 1
1B Votto 10, 3B ERios 2, 1B Zimmerman 2, 2S Chisholm 5, 2B Hoerner 5, 2B Solano 2, 2B LGarcia 10, SS Gregorius 17
OF Cain 14, Bader 1, Daza 1
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update: Cuomo says he will do sports betting, but via lottery.
claims it will raise $500M not $50M (but $100M was a more accurate estimate).
pretty much standard that states where lottery runs the show sucks and sucks hard for bettors.finished 10th in this 37th yr in 11-team-only NL 5x5
own picks 1, 2, 5, 6, 9 in April 2022 1st-rd farmhand draft
won in 2017 15 07 05 04 02 93 90 84
SP SGray 16, TWalker 10, AWood 10, Price 3, KH Kim 2, Corbin 10
RP Bednar 10, Bender 10, Graterol 2
C Stallings 2, Casali 1
1B Votto 10, 3B ERios 2, 1B Zimmerman 2, 2S Chisholm 5, 2B Hoerner 5, 2B Solano 2, 2B LGarcia 10, SS Gregorius 17
OF Cain 14, Bader 1, Daza 1
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update on NYS and mobile sports betting
Cuomo may be angling for something like the NH model, where the lottery oversees the sports betting but wound up farming it out to DK.
this betting is not legal elsewhere in New England, so it's better than nothing and it's not as bad as, say, DC or Oregon for example where the lottery runs it poorly.
but for NYC-area bettors, if it goes this route then NJ and/or offshore 'books will continue to keep most of their business.
the amount of lobbying coming will be epic - not only because claiming a monopoly in NYS would be worth a king's ransom, but because it could set a template for other states to follow. again, would suck for bettors but could be a sweet deal for non-bettors who see their state rake in extra tax dollars if done right.
all of the massive gaming brands - and especially the publicly-traded ones that soared on the AM Cuomo reports but will sink tomorrow off the later news - will be doing not-even-socially-distancing sweet-talking with every pol who ever got a campaign contribution.
big picture here is billions are at stake, and in Albany there are plenty of legislators who will be interested in wetting their beaks. stay tuned.finished 10th in this 37th yr in 11-team-only NL 5x5
own picks 1, 2, 5, 6, 9 in April 2022 1st-rd farmhand draft
won in 2017 15 07 05 04 02 93 90 84
SP SGray 16, TWalker 10, AWood 10, Price 3, KH Kim 2, Corbin 10
RP Bednar 10, Bender 10, Graterol 2
C Stallings 2, Casali 1
1B Votto 10, 3B ERios 2, 1B Zimmerman 2, 2S Chisholm 5, 2B Hoerner 5, 2B Solano 2, 2B LGarcia 10, SS Gregorius 17
OF Cain 14, Bader 1, Daza 1
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preliminarily, it looks as if it would come down to DK, FD, Rush Street Gaming, and Bet365.
but MGM paid $850M for Yonkers Raceway and racino in 2019 to have a shot at both mobile sports betting and also getting a full-fledged casino license - and the main backer of sports betting in the Assembly happens to be from Yonkers.
but this tentative plan would leave out BarStool/Penn National, for instance - which makes no sense for the state. let 'em all bid, in some fashion or another.finished 10th in this 37th yr in 11-team-only NL 5x5
own picks 1, 2, 5, 6, 9 in April 2022 1st-rd farmhand draft
won in 2017 15 07 05 04 02 93 90 84
SP SGray 16, TWalker 10, AWood 10, Price 3, KH Kim 2, Corbin 10
RP Bednar 10, Bender 10, Graterol 2
C Stallings 2, Casali 1
1B Votto 10, 3B ERios 2, 1B Zimmerman 2, 2S Chisholm 5, 2B Hoerner 5, 2B Solano 2, 2B LGarcia 10, SS Gregorius 17
OF Cain 14, Bader 1, Daza 1
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Wild Card Weekend
Saturday
$10 Parlay - Moss u1.5 rec, Carson u3.5 rec (50% Boost) - LOST
$10 Parlay - Moss u1.5 rec, Carson u3.5 rec - LOST
$5 Parlay - Moss u1.5 rec, Carson u3.5 rec, McKissic u21.5 rush - LOST
$15 Carson u3.5 rec - WON $23.85
$10 Diggs o90.5 - WON $18.50
$10 Diggs TD (50% boost) - WON $27.00
$10 Diggs TD (+300) - WON $40.00
$10 IND-BUF o51.5 - LOST by half a point
$20 Barber u9.5 - WON $38.00
$20 McKissic u21.5 rush - WON $34.40
$10 Moss u1.5 rec - LOST
$10 parlay Barber u9.5, McKissic u18.5 rush - WON $31.71
$15 Woods o50.5 - LOST
$15 Kupp o50.5 - WON $26.70
$5 Fournette TD live - WON $24.25
$20 Bucs -6.5 - WON $31.43
$10 Fox promo - all WC QBs 1+ TD pass - LOST
Total Wagered: $205.00
Total Payout: $295.84
Total +/-: $90.84
Sunday
$15 LJax o68.5 rush - WON $24.75
$10 LJax o199.5 - LOST
$10 LJax o1.5 pass TD - LOST
$10 Dobbins o61.5 - LOST
$10 Dobbins TD - WON $20.00
$10 Dobbins u1.5 rec - WON $16.90
$10 Tannehill o237.5 - LOST
$10 Andrews o56.5 - LOST
$3 SGP: Andrews + Jonnu TD - LOST
$5 Jonnu TD - LOST
$5 Andrews TD - LOST
$5 CDavis o59.5 - LOST
$5 AJBrown o67.5 - WON $8.85
$10 Thomas o69.5 - WON $17.00
$5 Thomas o5.5rec - LOST
$5 Robinson TD - LOST
$15 Fox promo - Kamara + Henry rush TD - LOST
$20 NO+PIT win - LOST
$10 PIT 1st to score (DK boost) - LOST
$5 Chubb TD - WON $9.50
$5 DJohnson o65.5 - WON $8.85
$5 Claypool o50.5 - WON $9.00
ARB 1
$19.39 TEN ML - LOST
$25 BAL ML - WON $50.00
ARB 2
$50 PIT/CLE u41.5 - LOST
$156.67 PIT/CLE o41.5 - WON $235.01
Total Wagered: $439.06
Total Payout: $399.86
Total +/-: ($39.20)
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Colts just jumped to +7 on DK if that seems appealing (-113)
I signed up recently w BetMGM as well. they keep bombarding me w free $5 or $10 bets with maybe 72 hours to do it. trying to force newbies into checking in and betting early and often. haven't seen that elsewhere.
also a heavier promo push on parlays.
saw a note that only game out of 22 in the past two postseasons had a "win but didn't cover" result (PHI-NO 2 years ago). otherwise if you had the favorite, if they won then they covered as well.finished 10th in this 37th yr in 11-team-only NL 5x5
own picks 1, 2, 5, 6, 9 in April 2022 1st-rd farmhand draft
won in 2017 15 07 05 04 02 93 90 84
SP SGray 16, TWalker 10, AWood 10, Price 3, KH Kim 2, Corbin 10
RP Bednar 10, Bender 10, Graterol 2
C Stallings 2, Casali 1
1B Votto 10, 3B ERios 2, 1B Zimmerman 2, 2S Chisholm 5, 2B Hoerner 5, 2B Solano 2, 2B LGarcia 10, SS Gregorius 17
OF Cain 14, Bader 1, Daza 1
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FanDuel in NJ today offering 'Bama at -110 to win, down from -340.
basically this means that instead of needing the Tide to win by at least 8 or 9 points, you only need them to win at all, for the same price.
max is $50, but it's not THAT much of a lock.
still worth a taste, for most.finished 10th in this 37th yr in 11-team-only NL 5x5
own picks 1, 2, 5, 6, 9 in April 2022 1st-rd farmhand draft
won in 2017 15 07 05 04 02 93 90 84
SP SGray 16, TWalker 10, AWood 10, Price 3, KH Kim 2, Corbin 10
RP Bednar 10, Bender 10, Graterol 2
C Stallings 2, Casali 1
1B Votto 10, 3B ERios 2, 1B Zimmerman 2, 2S Chisholm 5, 2B Hoerner 5, 2B Solano 2, 2B LGarcia 10, SS Gregorius 17
OF Cain 14, Bader 1, Daza 1
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