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2K24: Washington Nationals
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Originally posted by revo View PostGio Gonzalez:
12-5
2.39 ERA
1.12 WHIP
Who saw this coming?
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Originally posted by pitbull View PostThis is part in fantasy baseball where I always have trouble with. If I had gotten Gio in the draft I know my expectations would not have been anywhere he is now. This might end up as his best season ever. The one area that stands out is his career strand rate is 74% and this season it is 83% so maybe luckier perhaps. His pitching turn-around is comparable to players like Reynolds and Zimmerman. I cannot possibly believe that anybody could have predicted these players having the type of seasons that they have put out so far. Perhaps there should be thread on this. I have been doing this since 1991 and i'm no great expert but I sure would like to hear if anybody can provide insight on this. Selecting players like them could be a difference maker in winning your league championship.
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He has basically the same numbers as last year, almost identical K/9, BB/9, HR/9, FIP, xFIP, but his BABIP is down seventy points, down to fifty points below his career numbers mostly set when he was a better pitcher. Pretty much by definition you can't predict that.In the best of times, our days are numbered, anyway. And it would be a crime against Nature for any generation to take the world crisis so solemnly that it put off enjoying those things for which we were presumably designed in the first place, and which the gravest statesmen and the hoarsest politicians hope to make available to all men in the end: I mean the opportunity to do good work, to fall in love, to enjoy friends, to sit under trees, to read, to hit a ball and bounce the baby.
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Originally posted by pitbull View PostThis is part in fantasy baseball where I always have trouble with. If I had gotten Gio in the draft I know my expectations would not have been anywhere he is now. This might end up as his best season ever. The one area that stands out is his career strand rate is 74% and this season it is 83% so maybe luckier perhaps. His pitching turn-around is comparable to players like Reynolds and Zimmerman. I cannot possibly believe that anybody could have predicted these players having the type of seasons that they have put out so far. Perhaps there should be thread on this. I have been doing this since 1991 and i'm no great expert but I sure would like to hear if anybody can provide insight on this. Selecting players like them could be a difference maker in winning your league championship.
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Originally posted by revo View PostI used to do that annual thread on "Increased Playing Time Breakouts" but that looked for players who were expected to play far more. This obviously isn't that. This year has far more veteran performance spikes than I can ever remember, and I have no idea why this is.
To me, it is a little less surprising that a few players like Gio are showing all the skills they have shown before in a perfect storm of glory. It is the large number of guys who have never shown, at least in the majors, the level of skills they have shown this year. Very late bloomers like Justin Smoak come to mind. Sure he was a blue chip prospect, but he has never shown this level of power, not even in his minor league heyday. You don't expect a guy with as many major league ABs as he had coming into 2017 suddenly exploding at age 30.
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I keep looking at Bryce Harper's historical stat line and can't shake the feeling that who ever signs him for 8-10 years, $300-$500 is going to regret it.
I get it. Young. When healthy, he is very productive. But I see a lot of dl time already in his short career. However, not many of these long term contracts work out. Add these things together, and I don't feel there is a good future in those years.
All that said, I look forward to my first semi throw up when boras fires his opening salvo in November: "bryce...greatest ever...worth 15 years...$1,000,000,000...blah blah blah". Not like boras is going to aim low or anything...
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He won't go low, and he shouldn't. His prime years are for sale. And inflation of contracts makes a huge contract at the start not so big at the end. He's had a bunch of hustle injuries so far, I imagine those go down as he ages and gets wiser.
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Originally posted by cavebird View PostHe won't go low, and he shouldn't. His prime years are for sale. And inflation of contracts makes a huge contract at the start not so big at the end. He's had a bunch of hustle injuries so far, I imagine those go down as he ages and gets wiser.
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Originally posted by Sour Masher View PostThis is all true, but it also looks like the hyper-inflation we have seen in contracts has slowed, and may even be reversing a bit. I no longer think we are at a point when 10 years from now everyone is making much more than they were now. Given his injury history, current baseball economy, and current increased wariness of over-committing guaranteed money, I wouldn't be surprised if Harper had to settle for "just" an Arod contract--10 years, 250 million.
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Originally posted by Sour Masher View PostThis is all true, but it also looks like the hyper-inflation we have seen in contracts has slowed, and may even be reversing a bit. I no longer think we are at a point when 10 years from now everyone is making much more than they were now. Given his injury history, current baseball economy, and current increased wariness of over-committing guaranteed money, I wouldn't be surprised if Harper had to settle for "just" an Arod contract--10 years, 250 million.
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