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Fowler seemingly put it all together in 2k12, hitting .300 with 72 R, 13 HR, 53 RBI and 12 SB to have the best season of his 4-year career.
Now Fowler is a speedy guy, so his BABIP is usually higher than league average, but his .390 was the highest BABIP in the majors last year, and that was the driver of his BA spike. In addition, his HR/FB rate jumped from his career norm of about 3% to 7.5%, which can explain his increase in HRs. That also likely caused his doubles to plunge from 35 in 2011 to just 18 last year. Good thing most leagues don't care about doubles!
His lack of SBs is still befuddling, considering he's near the top in 3Bs every year and he once stole 43 bases in the minors, but maybe he doesn't get the green light that often because he simply isn't a good base stealer (33% CS rate in his career). He always contributes a huge amount of Runs per PA, so that stat should remain stable. But there always seems to be a reason why he misses 20-30 games a season. Maybe 2k13 will be different, but I wouldn't project any more than what he's historically achieved.
For the most part, Fowler is a very easy projection in 2k13, which may not make his fans too happy. A slight regression looks to be in the cards for him, as his BABIP and HR/FB normalize:
.268 BA
75 R
7 HR
47 RBI
13 SB
Now Fowler is a speedy guy, so his BABIP is usually higher than league average, but his .390 was the highest BABIP in the majors last year, and that was the driver of his BA spike. In addition, his HR/FB rate jumped from his career norm of about 3% to 7.5%, which can explain his increase in HRs. That also likely caused his doubles to plunge from 35 in 2011 to just 18 last year. Good thing most leagues don't care about doubles!
His lack of SBs is still befuddling, considering he's near the top in 3Bs every year and he once stole 43 bases in the minors, but maybe he doesn't get the green light that often because he simply isn't a good base stealer (33% CS rate in his career). He always contributes a huge amount of Runs per PA, so that stat should remain stable. But there always seems to be a reason why he misses 20-30 games a season. Maybe 2k13 will be different, but I wouldn't project any more than what he's historically achieved.
For the most part, Fowler is a very easy projection in 2k13, which may not make his fans too happy. A slight regression looks to be in the cards for him, as his BABIP and HR/FB normalize:
.268 BA
75 R
7 HR
47 RBI
13 SB
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