NL highest value producers - with low risk

[swampdragon]

Who are the top NL hitters with low risk - possibly getting better and not likely to get worse
1 - Hanley - still young and moving in the right direction
2 - Pujols - (contract year helps?)
3 - Tulo - had a wrist injury last year - all better?
4 - Cargo - excellent numbers - still going up
5 - Votto - still getting better - could even move up this year
6 - Braun - but the power was down
7 - Zimmerman - loses Dunn - but will he do better and has less risk than Wright
8 - Fielder - contract year
9 - Wright - seems to have lost power and the Mets are a mess financially
10 - Utley - great numbers - but the guy always gets hurt

[Phineas to Ferb]

I'm not sold on CarGo. Good player. But the vicious home/road splits and .380+ BABIP scare me. He has a place on the team, just not at #4.