How is everyone feeling about drafting Justin Morneau among the elite 1Bs? After that bad concussion he suffered in 2010 causing him to miss the entire second half, can you confidently draft him among the elite?
Prior to the head injury, Morneau was on his way to a career year. He smashed 17 HRs in the first half with a .344 BA (xBA says .314 on account of the 39% hit rate) and he was creating nearly 9.00 RC/G.
Nine runs per game is absurdly elite and with a very good, stabile EYE (.80) and power growth, this is definitely an elite profile.
It's just the concussion. Those can be mighty tricky and although Morneau was managed very well despite the Twins being in contention, you still should take a few points off the draft position because of the nature of the injury.
Assuming health:
575 ABs
.295 BA
35 HRs
115 RBI
95 Runs
1 SB
The risk remains though for 2011.
Prior to the head injury, Morneau was on his way to a career year. He smashed 17 HRs in the first half with a .344 BA (xBA says .314 on account of the 39% hit rate) and he was creating nearly 9.00 RC/G.
Nine runs per game is absurdly elite and with a very good, stabile EYE (.80) and power growth, this is definitely an elite profile.
It's just the concussion. Those can be mighty tricky and although Morneau was managed very well despite the Twins being in contention, you still should take a few points off the draft position because of the nature of the injury.
Assuming health:
575 ABs
.295 BA
35 HRs
115 RBI
95 Runs
1 SB
The risk remains though for 2011.
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