Moderately heralded prospect finally turned in a great year last year. Upward trajectory? Bound for regression? Something else?
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2k22 Tyler Mahle
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Originally posted by Bene Futuis View PostModerately heralded prospect finally turned in a great year last year. Upward trajectory? Bound for regression? Something else?
- He ditched the curve that wasn't working at all and has worked hard to make his split a good pitch.
- He's had solid upticks in velocity; he now sits in the 94-95 MPH area
- His slider improved and he's throwing it now about 30% of the time
- His spin rate has gone up three years running, and if you look at the pre-Spider Tack spin rate numbers and compare them to the post-Spider Tack spin rate numbers, they look very close. So if he was using sticky stuff, not using it didn't appear to impact him a lot, though his spin rate and ERA and K rate did worsen a bit post-Spider Tack.
I do think between his park and stuff, he's not going to jump another tier, but he's a solid 3.60 - 3.80 ERA, mid 1.2s WHIP, 10 K/9 guy.I'm just here for the baseball.
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Originally posted by Bene Futuis View PostThat line is essentially what he did last year with a little regression in K/9 and WHIP, no?
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Originally posted by Sour Masher View PostHe is basically a good Coors pitcher, like Marquez. His home/road splits are brutal. If you are in a league set up where you can afford to just start him on the road, he is gold. But overall, I think Chance's line is probably his ceiling.
** Edited -- sorry I see now you amended your ceiling statement. I think his true ceiling is much higher than this, but we throw around that word way too much in the fantasy industry.
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Originally posted by Ken View PostHis 2020 and 2021 numbers were better than his ceiling?
** Edited -- sorry I see now you amended your ceiling statement. I think his true ceiling is much higher than this, but we throw around that word way too much in the fantasy industry.
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Originally posted by Sour Masher View PostI meant his ceiling next year, but yeah, I misused the term. What I meant was that I would not bid him up expecting any better than that line in 2022, unless I could find some reason to believe he would be better at home. His career splits are not much better. He does have a higher K rate at home, but overall, the results at home have held him back. It is the barrier to him taking things to the next level, which is why I think of him as a talented Coors pitcher.
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I feel like I am coming across like I don't like him. I do. I just wish I could understand the extent of his home/road splits, and because i play in weekly leagues, not daily leagues, Mahle is much more frustrating. In a different league, talented pitchers like him and Marquez are much more interesting (although, Mahle's home/road splits are actually more extreme than Marquez and many other Rockies pitchers), as long as you are able to bench them for at least some home starts.
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Rumor is that the Mets are trying to trade a position player to acquire him. But what position players do the Reds need, aside from SS? The Mets already traded their major league ready SS to acquire Lindor.2021 Auction Anatomy
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RotoJunkie Posts: 4,314
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Originally posted by ThatRogue View PostRumor is that the Mets are trying to trade a position player to acquire him. But what position players do the Reds need, aside from SS? The Mets already traded their major league ready SS to acquire Lindor.
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