RHD's Latest Top 150 Roto Prospects ("Pre-MLB Amateur Draft" Edition)

[rhd]

Here's the latest list (previous list from 4/14/21). I thought I'd post this before the draft today to give my idea beforehand on how valuable I think some of these new draftees will be in roto.

The spiel again: I generally follow BA's prospect eligibility requirements, which are <=130 MLB AB or <=50 MLB IP. Unlike BA tho, amateurs, unsigned draftees and foreign players are eligible. Also, while BA has a different IP limit for relievers (30 IP?), relievers are eligible as long as they dont have >50 IP. As usual, this is for roto, not 'real' baseball, so pitchers are downgraded some, catchers downgraded somewhat (unless they're elite prospects and their bat will play at any position), and actual closers are upgraded a lot, SB guys who project to get playing time get upgraded some, and guys who either currently are or project to soon be regulars can get upgraded quite a bit. Position listed is their current primary one to the best of my knowledge (correct me if I'm wrong), not the one they're likely to end up at.

1 Wander Franco SS TB 1 0
2 Jarred Kelenic OF Sea 2 0
3 Vidal Brujan 2B TB 31 28
4 Julio Rodriguez OF Sea 8 4
5 Bobby Witt, Jr. SS KC 10 5
6 C.J. Abrams SS SD 9 3
7 Marcos Luciano SS SF 11 4
8 Riley Greene OF Det 26 18
9 Adley Rutschman C Bal 17 8
10 Spencer Torkelson 1B Det 12 2
11 Austin Martin SS Tor 15 4
12 Nolan Gorman 3B StL 38 26
13 Corbin Carroll OF Ari 25 12
14 Noelvi Marte SS Sea 89 75
15 Marcelo Mayer SS HS NR NA
16 Jordan Lawlar SS HS 143 127
17 Jasson Dominguez OF NYY 27 10
18 Kahlil Watson SS HS NR NA
19 Brady House SS HS NR NA
20 Jarren Duran OF Bos 86 66
21 Drew Waters OF Atl 39 18
22 Triston Casas 1B Bos 59 37
23 Alek Manoah SP Tor NR NA
24 Logan Gilbert SP Sea 42 18
25 Luis Patino SP TB 22 -3
26 Nate Pearson SP Tor 21 -5
27 Grayson Rodriguez SP Bal 45 18
28 Jack Leiter SP College 47 19
29 Jo (Jordon) Adell OF LAA 14 -15
30 Michael Kopech SP CHW 35 5
31 Matt Manning SP Det 41 10
32 Emerson Hancock SP Sea 48 16
33 Hunter Greene SP Cin 107 74
34 Kumar Rocker SP College 46 12
35 Robert Hassell OF SD 67 32
36 MacKenzie Gore SP SD 18 -18
37 Brandon Marsh OF LAA 24 -13
38 Royce Lewis SS Min 32 -6
39 Alek Thomas OF Ari 58 19
40 Brennen Davis OF CHC 57 17
41 Nick Gonzales 2B Pit 65 24
42 Jordan Groshans SS Tor 37 -5
43 Jeter Downs 2B Bos 51 8
44 Nolan Jones 3B Cle 43 -1
45 Oswald Peraza SS NYY 155 110
46 Luis Matos OF SF 90 44
47 Garrett Mitchell OF Mil 79 32
48 Zac Veen OF Col 64 16
49 Elijah Green OF HS NR NA
50 Jose Israel Barrero (Garcia) SS Cin 77 27
51 Heliot Ramos OF SF 53 2
52 J.J. Bleday OF Mia 40 -12
53 Tyler Freeman SS Cle 78 25
54 Oneil Cruz SS Pit 84 30
55 Josh Jung 3B Tex 61 6
56 Ronny Mauricio SS NYM 62 6
57 Spencer Howard SP Phi 36 -21
58 Anthony Volpe SS NYY NR NA
59 Gunnar Henderson SS Bal NR NA
60 Jordan Walker 3B StL 133 73
61 Josh Lowe 3B/SP TB 81 20
62 D.L. Hall SP Bal 75 13
63 Cade Cavalli SP Was 136 73
64 Shane Baz SP TB 108 44
65 Max Meyer SP Mia 76 11
66 Nick Lodolo SP Cin 112 46
67 Simeon Woods-Richardson SP Tor 109 42
68 Edward Cabrera SP Mia 56 -12
69 Orelvis Martinez SS Tor 91 22
70 Sal Frelick OF College 144 74
71 Colton Cowser OF College NR NA
72 Matt McLain SS College 145 73
73 Francisco Alvarez C NYM 141 68
74 Josiah Gray SP LAD 54 -20
75 Xavier Edwards 2B TB 52 -23
76 Brett Baty 1B NYM 124 48
77 Michael Busch 2B LAD 87 10
78 George Valera OF Cle 85 7
79 Heston Kjerstad OF Bal 66 -13
80 Brice Turang SS Mil 88 8
81 Liover Peguero SS Pit 123 42
82 Kristian Robinson OF Ari 44 -38
83 Daniel Espino SP Cle NR NA
84 Reid Detmers SP LAA 135 51
85 Matthew Liberatore SP StL 74 -11
86 Quinn Priester SP Pit 100 14
87 Daniel Lynch SP KC 73 -14
88 Asa Lacy SP KC 72 -16
89 George Kirby SP Sea 99 10
90 Mick Abel SP Phi 111 21
91 Jordan Balazovic SP Min 103 12
92 Jackson Kowar SP KC 106 14
93 Roansy Contreras SP Pit NR NA
94 Michael Harris OF Atl NR NA
95 Andy Pages OF LAD NR NA
96 Nick Pratto 1B KC NR NA
97 Cristian Hernandez SS CHC NR NA
98 Greg Jones SS TB 152 54
99 Henry Davis C College NR NA
100 Sixto Sanchez SP Mia 20 -80
101 Taylor Walls SS TB 121 20
102 Jesus Sanchez OF Mia NR NA
103 Joseph Gray OF Mil NR NA
104 Samad Taylor 2B Tor NR NA
105 Jeremy Pena SS Hou 96 -9
106 Erick Pena OF KC 127 21
107 Brayan Rocchio SS Cle 122 15
108 Gabriel Arias SS Cle 114 6
109 Clarke Schmidt SP NYY 131 22
110 Garrett Crochet SP CHW 97 -13
111 Brendan McKay SP TB 101 -10
112 A.J. Puk SP Oak 105 -7
113 Jhoan Duran SP Min 104 -9
114 Cristian Pache OF Atl 30 -84
115 Bobby Miller SP LAD NR NA
116 Ryan Pepiot SP LAD NR NA
117 Kyle Harrison SP SF NR NA
118 Luis Gil SP NYY NR NA
119 Luis Medina SP NYY NR NA
120 Deivi Garcia SP NYY 55 -65
121 Geraldo Perdomo SS Ari 63 -58
122 Austin Hendrick OF Cin 113 -9
123 Jordyn Adams OF LAA 80 -43
124 Ezequiel Duran 2B NYY NR NA
125 Carlos Colmenarez SS TB NR NA
126 Hedbert Perez OF Mil 147 21
127 Heriberto Hernandez OF TB NR NA
128 Roberto Puason SS Oak 146 18
129 Jake Burger 3B CHW NR NA
130 Angel Martinez 2B Cle NR NA
131 Seth Beer 1B Ari NR NA
132 Mark Vientos 3B NYM 153 21
133 Kyren Paris SS LAA NR NA
134 Miguel Vargas 3B LAD 156 22
135 Jake Eder SP Mia NR NA
136 Cole Winn SP Tex NR NA
137 Blake Walston SP Ari NR NA
138 Jared Jones SP Pit NR NA
139 Eury Perez SP Mia NR NA
140 Jose Miranda 3B Min NR NA
141 Brailyn Marquez SP CHC 92 -49
142 Pete Crow-Armstrong OF NYM 126 -16
143 Jud Fabian OF College NR NA
144 Jackson Jobe SP HS NR NA
145 Joey Bart C SF 139 -6
146 Keibert Ruiz C LAD 142 -4
147 Gabriel Moreno C Tor NR NA
148 Tyler Soderstrom C Oak NR NA
149 Yuki Yanagita OF Japan 148 -1
150 Seiya Suzuki OF Japan 149 -1

Removed because of ineligiblity (34)
K Hayes (#3), R Arozarena (#4), D Carlson (#5), A Vaughn (#6), A Kiriloff (#7), R Mountcastle (#13), I Anderson (#16), C Mize (#19), T Trammel (#23), N Madrigal (#28), J Chisholm (#29), T Skubal (#33), T McKenzie (#34), B Dalbec (#49), A Gimenez (#50), T Larnach (#60), L Taveras (#68), H Kim (#69), B Wilson (#70), B Rodgers (#71), J India (#82), E Clase (#93), T Rogers (#95), D Dunning (#98), S McClanahan (#102), A Baddoo (#115), P Smith (#116), A Alzolay (#117), L Garcia (#119), R Weathers (#120), D Peterson (#129), K Kim (#130), R Jeffers (#137), D Varsho (#138)

Eligibles dropped off (12)
I Paredes (#83), J Merryweather (#94), M Allan (#110), D Jefferies (#118), H Bishop (#125), A Bracho (#128), A Morejon (#132), T Swaggerty (#134), L Campusano (#140), J Lee (#150), G Jimenez (#151), E Howard (#154)

As always, comments are not only welcome but encouraged. Enjoy!

[hacko]

I have the first pick in my Al only draft was going to go with Jasson Dominguez NY OF - but now you have 2 HS in front. What to do…..

[rhd]

I have the first pick in my Al only draft was going to go with Jasson Dominguez NY OF - but now you have 2 HS in front. What to do…..

Thanx for the response. I'd probably advise to go w Dominguez, since he already was your choice and because he's already been ranked highly by many major prospecting sites. It's always hard for me to rank these amateurs. I just know I would take any of the top 4 HS shortstops before a lot of current pros, especially the 2 I have in front of Dominguez, who might go 1-2 overall. Each draft, about a dozen or so of the new draftees end up consensus top 100 prospects the next year. But I dont know where exactly to rank them. This year, I have the top guys ranked a lot higher than I usually do, even tho it's not supposed to be a strong draft. I think that's because a lot of the top guys already graduated this year. FG indicated that they'd rank Mayer #50 and Lawlar #126 on their prospects list (before they removed the ineligibles). So, yeah I'm being a bit aggressive. I'd go w Dominguez.

BTW, I took Lawlar in one of my leagues that allows drafting of amateurs. I just hope he signs instead of going to Vandy.

[Hornsby]

I have the first pick in my Al only draft was going to go with Jasson Dominguez NY OF - but now you have 2 HS in front. What to do…..

Take Dominguez and don't look back...

[chancellor]

Take Dominguez and don't look back...

Oh, gosh, yes.

[cleo]

why is Kopech (#30) still on your list?

[rhd]

why is Kopech (#30) still on your list?

He has only 49.7 IP, which means he's still eligible.

[Gregg]

He has only 49.7 IP, which means he's still eligible.

Awesome!!

[Gregg]

Brady House fell to me with the last pick in our 12 team NL only 5x5.

We have a one round draft at All Star Break. House will be $10 when activated. To get a player inside of RHD's top 20 list is unexpected and awesome!

Thanks for doing this.

[rhd]

Brady House fell to me with the last pick in our 12 team NL only 5x5.

We have a one round draft at All Star Break. House will be $10 when activated. To get a player inside of RHD's top 20 list is unexpected and awesome!

Thanks for doing this.

Congrats on getting House. Altho he may not end up being quite as highly ranked as I have him.

[hacko]

Take Dominguez and don't look back...

Which I did- much to the huge Arrrgg of our one and only Yankee backer who had the 2nd pic. I have 4 more pics to go in our AL only draft.

[Sharky]

Quite a jump for Jarren Duran. Psyched to see it.

[Judge Jude]

just back from a business trip and have 23 hours til my farm draft.
I pick 1 and 2

of this top 150 list, here are the cream of the unpicked NL guys for me to consider:

Rank Name Pos Org
16 Jordan Lawlar SS HS 143 127
18 Kahlil Watson SS HS NR NA
19 Brady House SS HS NR NA
34 Kumar Rocker SP College 46 12
46 Luis Matos OF SF 90 44
60 Jordan Walker 3B StL 133 73
63 Cade Cavalli SP Was 136 73
77 Michael Busch 2B LAD 87 10
80 Brice Turang SS Mil 88 8
81 Liover Peguero SS Pit 123 42
86 Quinn Priester SP Pit 100 14
90 Mick Abel SP Phi 111 21
94 Michael Harris OF Atl NR NA

Rocker is a Met and this is a Mets-loving league - and did I hear that he's already signed? definitely prefer guys who definitely will sign.

my current farm features top 150 guys 7 Luciano, 13 Carroll, 51 HRamos, 72 McLain (lucked out by an NL team - the Reds - picking him at 17, so I get to keep him), 76 Baty, and 141 BMarquez. these two picks tomorrow will fill out my 8-man farm list.
anyone have a favorite hitter?
the top NL picks, fwiw, were:

1. Pirates - Henry Davis, C
6. Diamondbacks - Jordan Lawlar, SS
8. Rockies - Benny Montgomery, OF
10. Mets - Kumar Rocker, P
11. Nationals - Brady House, SS
13. Phillies - Andrew Painter, P
14. Giants - Will Bednar, P
15. Brewers - Sal Frelick, OF
16. Marlins - Kahlil Watson, SS

each pick will be listed at 5-S2 until the year after they lose rookie eligibility (no matter how long that takes).
then 5-S1 the following year.
then either 5-0 and out OR 10-L2 with an option to also keep at 15-L1 in 4th year.

[Bene Futuis]

Keep an eye on Miguel Vargas, who has shot all the way up to #38 on the BP list but is 100 spots lower here. Plus hit and emerging 30+ HR power.

[chancellor]

Rocker is a Met and this is a Mets-loving league - and did I hear that he's already signed? definitely prefer guys who definitely will sign.

Kumar Rocker is signed - Mets gave him better than a mil over slot, $6 mil total bonus by reports I read.

Of the hitters, if I could stash him away on a minors roster, I'd take Lawlar. Davis was very, very impressive, but the Pirates are like a D&D Will O' Wisp - they just suck the baseball life force out of anyone that touches their organization.