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Thread: Auction league reserve round pick trades?

  1. #1
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    Auction league reserve round pick trades?

    We often include reserve round picks with players or for players in the off season.

    It has been years since just picks have been trades. One of our owners AL 12 teams is offering up his 1.05 pick. I asked him what he wants. He responded with:

    I'm looking for something similar to the deal I just made in NL where I got picks 2.4, 3.4 & 6.4 for my 1.8, 9.8 & 10.8.

    Do you have a side you like?

    I think he got by far the best end of the deal.

    But then it got me to thinking what would a fair offer look like if I wanted his AL 1.05 pick. Any suggestions?

    We have 13 rounds. First round is $15 when activated 4 rounds of $10, 4 rounds of $5, 4 rounds of $2.

  2. #2
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    Could someone move this to the baseball forum.

    Thank you.

  3. #3
    All Star Ken's Avatar
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    If there's a prospect you really like available at 1.05 then a 2/3/6 pick is worth it.

    You are upgrading your 2 to a 1. What are you going to get at 3/6 that you couldn't get at 9/10 that's worth more than the 1.05 pick? Typically these things work like asymptotic curves, the top couple tiers fall off fast and then the rest of the reserve rounds are all pretty flat as far as value. We're talking about prospects (of whom the curve certainly applies), and reserve round picks (of whom you've already set a $0 value on basically).

  4. #4
    All Star Ken's Avatar
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    To put real names on it, I have to go back to 2019 personally (I didn't track drafts with my software this year b/c of the odd season).

    In 2019 in a keeper league with very similar setup ($15/10/10/etc) here were some representative players from each round:

    1) Teoscar Hernandez, Jesus Luzardo, Dallas Keuchel, Jo Adell
    2) Tyler O'Neill, Freddy Peralta, Manny Margot, Keone Kela
    3) Andrew Heaney, Adam Frazier, Brad Keller, Franchy Cordero
    6) Mitch Garver, Christian WAlker, Ian Happ, Brendan Rodgers
    9) Scott Kingery, Sean Manaea, Miguel Rojas, Chance Cisco
    10) A.J Puq, Chad Pinder, Joe Jimenez, Trent Thornton


    Given that kind of distribution, and in retrospect, I'd happily trade my 2nd and 3rd and 6th for a 1st/9th/10th if there's someone I like in the 1st round.

  5. #5
    I agree with Ken - I'd move my round 2/3 picks for 1.05 in a minute and drink beer in celebration after, too.
    I'm just here for the baseball.

  6. #6
    All Star heyelander's Avatar
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    I'm not expecting to grow flowers in the desert...

  7. #7
    All Star madducks's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chancellor View Post
    I agree with Ken - I'd move my round 2/3 picks for 1.05 in a minute and drink beer in celebration after, too.
    Yeah, it's like trading 3 of your middle-round draft picks for a first-rounder and 2 end-game picks.

  8. #8
    All Star madducks's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gregg View Post
    Could someone move this to the baseball forum.

    Thank you.
    If Steve 2.0 wanders in here by mistake, everyone just act innocent.

  9. #9
    All Star Ken's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by madducks View Post
    If Steve 2.0 wanders in here by mistake, everyone just act innocent.
    Some's gotta do some heavy lifting to get this thing over in the right forum.

  10. #10
    Journeyman Teenwolf's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by madducks View Post
    Yeah, it's like trading 3 of your middle-round draft picks for a first-rounder and 2 end-game picks.
    I'm going to play the contrarian and say that I prefer multiple mid-round guys to 1 first rounder. Especially given the keeper implications that a 1st rounder is $15, later rds cheaper. Much less likelihood of a great keeper price if the pick hits.

    But thats just a general rule. Things change based on how large the dropoffs are at different tier points. Like if I see a big drop after the top 5, there's value to the premium pick. Depends if you have mid round targets you expect to last a few rds that you really like or not.

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