Official Week 11 Thread

[Judge Jude]

THE BAD AND THE UGLY, NFL 2021 DRAFT LOOK

1. Jets 0-10

2. Jaguars 1-9

3. Bengals 2-7-1

4. Cowboys 3-7
5. Football Team 3-7
6. Chargers 3-7
7. Giants 3-7
8. Texans 3-7 (but pick goes to Dolphins)
9. Falcons 3-7

(Eagles 3-6-1)

10. Panthers 4-7

11. Lions 4-6
12. Patriots 4-6
13. Vikings 4-6
14. 49ers 4-6
15. Broncos 4-6

[madducks]

So, the Dolphins could make the playoffs and still have a top 10 draft pick next year. Nice.

[Judge Jude]

PLAYOFFS?

AFC
3 BILLS 7-3 (Dolphins 6-4)
1 STEELERS 10-0, 6 BROWNS 7-3 (Ravens 6-4)
4 COLTS 7-3, 5 TITANS 7-3
2 CHIEFS 9-1, 7 RAIDERS 6-4

NFC
4 NFC LEAST "WINNER"
3 PACKERS 7-3 (Bears 5-5)
1 SAINTS 8-2, 5 BUCCANEERS 7-4
2 RAMS 7-3, 5 SEAHAWKS 7-3, 7 CARDINALS 6-4

[madducks]

Bengals QB Joe Burrow carted off with a knee injury.

Burrow has a torn ACL...and there may be more damage that the initial MRI didn't find.

[Judge Jude]

what a race!

EAGLES 3-6-1
FOOTBALL TEAM 3-7
COWBOYS 3-7
GIANTS 3-7

assuming that none of these teams can beat a winning team (right?), then remaining opportunities:

Eagles 3-6-1 (2) - Cowboys, Football Team
Football Team 3-7 (4) - Cowboys, 49ers, Panthers, Eagles
Cowboys 3-7 (5) - Football Team, Bengals, 49ers, Eagles, Giants
Giants 3-7 (2) - Bengals, Cowboys

[revo]

So what wins the NFC East? I’m guessing 6-10.

[ironfist]

So what wins the NFC East? I’m guessing 6-10.

are any of these teams good enough to win half their remaining games? We might see a 5-win team make the playoffs for the first time.

[revo]

Best guess predictions:

Cowboys - 7-9 to 8-8 - 50% chance of winning the NFC East
Has a shot: WFT, Bengals, 49ers, Eagles, Giants
No shot: Ravens

WFT - 6-10 to 7-9 - 35% chance
Has a shot: Cowboys, 49ers, Panthers, Eagles
No shot: Steelers, Seahawks

Giants - 4-12 to 5-11- 10% chance
Has a shot: Bengals, Cowboys
No shot: Seahawks, Cards, Browns, Ravens

Eagles - 4-11-1 to 5-10-1 - 5% chance
Has a shot: Cowboys, WFT
No shot: Seahawks, Packers, Saints, Cardinals


Now here are the latest odds on DK:
Eagles +140
Cowboys +300
Giants +300
WFT +450

Seems like the Cowboys are a good bet at +300.

[Judge Jude]

are any of these teams good enough to win half their remaining games? We might see a 5-win team make the playoffs for the first time.

they have to play each other, though

[revo]

Joe Burrow tore his ACL, MCL and had other structural damage in his knee.

[revo]

JK Dobbins & Mark Ingram test positive for covid and will miss the Thanksgiving Day game vs PIT

[Judge Jude]

worth noting: both Tom Brady and Tua - who is young enough to be Brady's son - seem to be at a similar point in their careers, oddly enough.

they each can thrive against so-so defenses. but Brady's age and Tua's inexperience are catnip for strong, well-coached defenses.

the Bucs were fortunate not to get waxed tonight. some curious play calls by the Rams and yet another lucky "not a fumble" play for Brady made it close.

same for Tua. he went out down only 20-13, but he had no chance against the DEN defense if you look closer.

[chancellor]

So what wins the NFC East? I’m guessing 6-10.

I said that all the way back in week 5.

[revo]

worth noting: both Tom Brady and Tua - who is young enough to be Brady's son - seem to be at a similar point in their careers, oddly enough.

they each can thrive against so-so defenses. but Brady's age and Tua's inexperience are catnip for strong, well-coached defenses.

the Bucs were fortunate not to get waxed tonight. some curious play calls by the Rams and yet another lucky "not a fumble" play for Brady made it close.

same for Tua. he went out down only 20-13, but he had no chance against the DEN defense if you look closer.

Brady has no downfield accuracy left in his bag of tricks. His deep ball accuracy on throws of >20 yds has plunged to 34% from 41% last year. His YPA is the 2nd worst of his long career (to last year), and he's compromising some great WRs - -namely Chris Godwin, who's YPC is down from 15.3 last season to 11.3 this season.

[revo]

I said that all the way back in week 5.

LOL. If I had to guess now, I'd say 7-9 wins it.