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Thread: Breakouts that may be real

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    Breakouts that may be real

    We're still in the "small sample size" part of the season, but I think it's interesting to look at some of the guys who are performing above expectations who might be setting a new standard rather than just setting themselves up for regression.

    A couple who I've focused on:

    Willson Contreras - ADP fell from 60 to 120 from the 2018 draft season to 2019. At minimum I think he can split the difference. The .276/.356/.499 line from 2017 with 21 HR in 377 AB indicates a high bar for the talent level. He's started off red hot and while he can't continue this pace I think he was selling too low in draft season..

    Yoan Moncada - The .238 career BA probably scares off a lot of potential buyers, but his power/speed combo make up for it. With just 211 career games coming into the season I think he's still on his way up, and the hot start is encouraging.

    Who else you got?

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  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ken View Post
    We're still in the "small sample size" part of the season, but I think it's interesting to look at some of the guys who are performing above expectations who might be setting a new standard rather than just setting themselves up for regression.

    A couple who I've focused on:

    Willson Contreras - ADP fell from 60 to 120 from the 2018 draft season to 2019. At minimum I think he can split the difference. The .276/.356/.499 line from 2017 with 21 HR in 377 AB indicates a high bar for the talent level. He's started off red hot and while he can't continue this pace I think he was selling too low in draft season..

    Yoan Moncada - The .238 career BA probably scares off a lot of potential buyers, but his power/speed combo make up for it. With just 211 career games coming into the season I think he's still on his way up, and the hot start is encouraging.

    Who else you got?
    I agree with both of these. Contreras said he took too much for granted last year and recommitted to come into the season to be the best he can be. That message was both a little discouraging but also very encouraging. He was kept this year or he would have been on my team.

    The guys on the SCORE were talking about Moncada being healthier this year than last. The baseball analysts think he is for real and will have a great year...the one Sox fans were hoping for.

  8. #8
    Nice to see a bunch of names I own in this thread. Excluding rookies:

    Clint Frazier
    Danny Vogelbach
    Domingo Santana
    Trey Mancini
    Tim Anderson
    Chad Pinder

    Matt Boyd
    Max Fried
    Zack Eflin
    Shane Bieber

    Bouncebacks:
    Alex Gordon
    Jay Bruce
    Tim Beckham


    J
    Last edited by onejayhawk; 04-12-2019 at 07:57 PM.
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    Bieber is a good one, as is Boyd. If Yandy truly changed his approach looking for more loft he's perfect for this category.

    I'm not buying into Clint Frazier, Zack Eflin or Jay Bruce yet, but I could be wrong.

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