Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

RJEL auction analysis

Collapse
X
Collapse
 
  • Page of 6
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
Previous 1 2 3 4 5 6 template Next
  • #61
    Originally posted by Mithrandir View Post
    They' re useless
    For some they are useless. Projections are one tool of many to use.

    It's like a nail gun, in the right hands it helps you build a house. In the wrong hands it sends you to the ER with a nail sticking out of your foot.

    Comment

    • #62
      Originally posted by Ken View Post
      For some they are useless. Projections are one tool of many to use.

      It's like a nail gun, in the right hands it helps you build a house. In the wrong hands it sends you to the ER with a nail sticking out of your foot.
      Denzel knows how to use a nail gun the right way.

      Comment

      • #63
        Originally posted by Gregg View Post
        Denzel knows how to use a nail gun the right way.
        Snoop knows how to buy a nail gun for Marlo and those vacants.

        Comment

        • #64
          Originally posted by frae View Post
          Snoop knows how to buy a nail gun for Marlo and those vacants.
          And she pays cash.

          Comment

          • #65
            It's rotolab, which uses Baseball HQ (Shandler) projections, so YMMV. And, no, no replacement value is taken into account. That's one reason why you have to take it with a huge grain of salt.

            I use it for rough guidance during the auction - it shows available players, pricing, positions, tiers, who has what positions filled, etc. And it shows me my progress toward goals. I've tailored the inputs so that it's pretty good at reflecting prices that folks typically pay in RJEL (I use different parameters for my main league, which is much deeper and has different dynamics and personalities).

            I used to do this with all my own custom-written software, but I got tired of all the work that I had to put into it every year, so started using rotolab. I'm not enamored with many of Shandler's projections, but at least as a rough guide they're mostly OK. If you forced me to, I'd probably put the standard deviation on total points at +-10 or so (remember that's one-sigma). And of course injuries, role changes, etc., as the season progresses makes all of this useless at some point...
            "Instead of all of this energy and effort directed at the war to end drugs, how about a little attention to drugs which will end war?" Albert Hofmann

            Comment

            • #66
              Originally posted by The Dane View Post
              And she pays cash.
              and thinks west coast drive-bys are wack
              "You know what's wrong with America? If I lovingly tongue a woman's nipple in a movie, it gets an "NC-17" rating, if I chop it off with a machete, it's an "R". That's what's wrong with America, man...."--Dennis Hopper

              "One should judge a man mainly from his depravities. Virtues can be faked. Depravities are real." -- Klaus Kinski

              Comment

              • #67
                Originally posted by Fresno Bob View Post
                and thinks west coast drive-bys are wack
                But she did give it try, just be sure.

                Comment

                • #68
                  Originally posted by The Dane View Post
                  And she pays cash.
                  You earned that like a Mo Fo.

                  Comment

                  • #69
                    Originally posted by revo View Post
                    Interesting to see the difference between Rotolab projections, as I tinker with mine. I have my squad with almost 1500 more ABs than Bryan's projected totals!
                    I'd be curious to see the overall standings with your projections? I always like other viewpoints .
                    "Instead of all of this energy and effort directed at the war to end drugs, how about a little attention to drugs which will end war?" Albert Hofmann

                    Comment

                    • #70
                      Originally posted by mjl View Post
                      yeah, using the ATC projections on FG, even before the trade I already made I have myself with an extra five points of OBP, 30 HR, 40 R, 60 RBI.
                      Ditto for this one - do you have projected totals and standings for the league? I'm curious .
                      "Instead of all of this energy and effort directed at the war to end drugs, how about a little attention to drugs which will end war?" Albert Hofmann

                      Comment

                      • #71
                        Originally posted by bryanbutler View Post
                        Ditto for this one - do you have projected totals and standings for the league? I'm curious .
                        I guess not... easy to cast stones...
                        "Instead of all of this energy and effort directed at the war to end drugs, how about a little attention to drugs which will end war?" Albert Hofmann

                        Comment

                        • #72
                          you would be shocked at how little preparation or tools I use. All I had was a spreadsheet with the projected hitting numbers for my team that I filled in as I took players. I didn't adjust prices for what categories I was doing well in except in my head, I didn't do anything for pitching, and I certainly didn't have anything for other teams.
                          In the best of times, our days are numbered, anyway. And it would be a crime against Nature for any generation to take the world crisis so solemnly that it put off enjoying those things for which we were presumably designed in the first place, and which the gravest statesmen and the hoarsest politicians hope to make available to all men in the end: I mean the opportunity to do good work, to fall in love, to enjoy friends, to sit under trees, to read, to hit a ball and bounce the baby.

                          Comment

                          • #73
                            Originally posted by bryanbutler View Post
                            I'd be curious to see the overall standings with your projections? I always like other viewpoints .
                            Code:
                            TEAM RN HR RBI SB OBA WN SV SO ERARATIO
Tymers 17.0 17.0 17.0 18.0 18.0 10.0 14.0 11.0 18.0 15.0 87.0 68.0 155.0
Bastards 18.0 18.0 18.0 9.0 6.0 5.0 18.0 12.0 16.0 18.0 69.0 69.0 138.0
Putsy 16.0 14.0 13.0 17.0 13.0 14.5 6.0 10.0 17.0 14.0 73.0 61.5 134.5
Sonny 15.0 10.0 12.0 13.5 7.0 13.0 15.0 13.0 7.0 9.0 57.5 57.0 114.5
Scrapheap 14.0 13.0 15.0 1.0 11.0 18.0 4.0 18.0 8.0 11.0 54.0 59.0 113.0
Guns 10.5 11.0 11.0 5.5 14.0 14.5 5.0 17.0 11.0 7.0 52.0 54.5 106.5
Base 8.0 7.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 16.0 8.0 16.0 15.0 12.0 39.0 67.0 106.0
Axes 13.0 15.0 16.0 12.0 12.0 9.0 3.0 7.0 2.0 10.0 68.0 31.0 99.0
Marxists 5.0 9.0 9.0 10.0 2.0 17.0 7.0 15.0 10.0 6.0 35.0 55.0 90.0
Bombers 9.0 8.0 8.0 5.5 17.0 11.0 11.5 14.0 4.0 2.0 47.5 42.5 90.0
Froman 12.0 16.0 14.0 3.0 16.0 7.0 10.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 61.0 27.0 88.0
Preachers 7.0 5.0 4.0 16.0 8.0 1.5 13.0 2.0 13.0 16.0 40.0 45.5 85.5
Doigs 3.0 1.0 2.0 13.5 3.0 7.0 17.0 9.0 12.0 17.0 22.5 62.0 84.5
Lights 6.0 2.0 5.0 7.0 15.0 4.0 11.5 5.0 14.0 13.0 35.0 47.5 82.5
Tandem 2.0 4.0 3.0 15.0 5.0 1.5 16.0 3.0 9.0 4.0 29.0 33.5 62.5
Beveridges 10.5 6.0 7.0 11.0 4.0 7.0 9.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 38.5 23.0 61.5
Underbelly 4.0 12.0 10.0 2.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 5.0 37.0 20.0 57.0

                            Comment

                            • #74
                              Originally posted by Ken View Post
                              For some they are useless. Projections are one tool of many to use.

                              It's like a nail gun, in the right hands it helps you build a house. In the wrong hands it sends you to the ER with a nail sticking out of your foot.
                              i keep mentioning getting a gas or cordless nail gun in my RV for defense to the RV guy, but he keeps telling me not to do it.

                              Comment

                              • #75
                                Originally posted by mjl View Post
                                you would be shocked at how little preparation or tools I use. All I had was a spreadsheet with the projected hitting numbers for my team that I filled in as I took players. I didn't adjust prices for what categories I was doing well in except in my head, I didn't do anything for pitching, and I certainly didn't have anything for other teams.
                                Sounds like me at my league auction. Been pretty successful too!
                                "I lingered round them, under that benign sky: watched the moths fluttering among the heath and harebells, listened to the soft wind breathing through the grass, and wondered how any one could ever imagine unquiet slumbers for the sleepers in that quiet earth."

                                Comment

                                Previous 1 2 3 4 5 6 template Next
                                Working...
                                X