Top Pick in a Dispersal Draft

[frae]

I joined a league Revo runs, 15 teams you can keep up to 4 major league keepers and 2 farm keepers. The league is 5x5 with OBP instead of avg.

So I see a few viable picks and want to take some input. It is a snake draft so I will pick 1, 6,7, 12, 13, etc.

So here are the guys I see as options...

Jesse Winker $5 going into year 2
Matt Carpenter $12 going to year 2
Andrelton Simmons $1 going to his option year

Since it is OPB I kind of dinged these guys down but here they are in case anyone wants to make a case...

Ozzie Albies $5 year 2
Alb. Mondesi FARM so he will be $5 as soon as I activate him but he would let me keep 5 usuable players but his obp sucks
W Adames FARM just not sure his upside is enough for this pick
David Dahl $5 year 2
Sean Doolittle $3 option year

Ok so that is the list of the guys I could make a case for, if you made me pick now I think I would choose Winker, but Carpenter's OBP is really safe and Simmons is very cheap. Any help is more than welcome as a short keeper list minimal farm OBP league is not something i have played before.

[joncarlos]

OBP or not, a 20/20 guy is still good. Or a 15/30 guy. Or whatever.

Do you really think you can win in year 1? Or are you going for a multi-year plan?

Only having 4 keepers means you might be able to compete right away.

I think my list is Albies, Dahl, Carp, Mondesi, Winker, Doolittle, ... big dropoff, Simmons, Adames.

So knowing you're probably getting one of Simmons/Adames if you want them, does that devalue the MIs on the front end? I can see an argument for any of the top 4 with the first pick. Dahl or Carp are the most unique.

[frae]

OBP or not, a 20/20 guy is still good. Or a 15/30 guy. Or whatever.

Do you really think you can win in year 1? Or are you going for a multi-year plan?

Only having 4 keepers means you might be able to compete right away.

I think my list is Albies, Dahl, Carp, Mondesi, Winker, Doolittle, ... big dropoff, Simmons, Adames.

So knowing you're probably getting one of Simmons/Adames if you want them, does that devalue the MIs on the front end? I can see an argument for any of the top 4 with the first pick. Dahl or Carp are the most unique.

Thanks I need to hear some views on this. I only play in one OBP league and it always takes me a ton of prep to get ready for. I think with only 4 keepers I can probably compete if I have a good auction because I doubt a lot of teams will have a huge edge.

[harmon]

I feel you are overthinking the OBP aspect. It's just one category.

Winker is a nice player but there are questions re playing time with the additions of Puig and Kemp. Dahl is my clear first choice. Don't pass on him if you have a chance.

[frae]

I feel you are overthinking the OBP aspect. It's just one category.

Winker is a nice player but there are questions re playing time with the additions of Puig and Kemp. Dahl is my clear first choice. Don't pass on him if you have a chance.

Thanks I definitely needed to talk this out and I probably did put too much emphasis on OBP with Winker and Carp as my top two.

[Ken]

Wow, I could not pass on a *free* Mondesi. He's the highest value player on this list (even with OBP) based on pre-season projections, and he doesn't cost you anything in the auction, and you get to keep an additional player.

I'm not sure how it's even close.

[Sour Masher]

Yeah, Mondesi's upside, even on an obp league, at the price of free is to much to pass on. I also love Carp at 12 as my second choice. Albies as my 3rd. Dahl is an upside play, but the dude is snake bit. I like Winkler too, but I'd rank em Dahl then Winkler for the reasons already given.

[DMT]

Wow, I could not pass on a *free* Mondesi. He's the highest value player on this list (even with OBP) based on pre-season projections, and he doesn't cost you anything in the auction, and you get to keep an additional player.

I'm not sure how it's even close.

Agreed.

[frae]

So far I have heard people in favor of Dahl, Albies and Mondesi, but the last 3 people like the free Mondesi. I initially had Mondesi ranked 1, but then I looked at Carp and Winkers OBP and probably over boosted them.

[harmon]

So far I have heard people in favor of Dahl, Albies and Mondesi, but the last 3 people like the free Mondesi. I initially had Mondesi ranked 1, but then I looked at Carp and Winkers OBP and probably over boosted them.

Have to admit I am an NL guy so I should have qualified my choice of Dahl.

[Gregg]

As I read this I found myself agreeing with each post. I think all made good points.

Dahl and Mondesi are no brainers for me and I would be excited to have them. Albies, Doolittle and Carp would round out my 5.

I agree with Harmon on the Winker playing time. With only 4 or 5 keepers I would not roster him.

[cavebird]

If you take Albies #1 (he won't last until your next pick), you can turn him into a $23 Benintendi (at +10 every year) if you want. Or anyone else on my roster except Mookie Betts.

[frae]

If you take Albies #1 (he won't last until your next pick), you can turn him into a $23 Benintendi (at +10 every year) if you want. Or anyone else on my roster except Mookie Betts.

I think I am probably best off taking Mondesi since he won't count as a keeper and then getting 4 guys the next few rounds. There are some at value studs I can fill in with my 3rd and 4th pick.

[cavebird]

That's fine. Maybe the guys picking behind you will see this, too.

[frae]

I took Mondesi with pick one. So far it has followed as this...

1.1 Mondesi farm
1.2 Albies. 5 b
1.3 Dahl 5 b
2.01 Andujar 5 b
2.02 P Corbin 8 b
2.03 Matt Carpenter 12 B
3.01 Jose Berrios 5 opt

So it came back to me and Carpenter which was there and I loved that, but I was hoping Corbin would slip. With Corbin gone the only other SP under value in my mind was Jose Berrios at $5. So it was down to Doolittle $3 opt and Berrios $5 opt. I just decided to not chase the saves and get a guy who could take another step forward. We will see what makes it back to me to round out my 4 keepers on paper. Mondesi will be a farm keep for me.