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Thread: RHD's Latest Top 150 Roto Prospects ("Pre-MLB Draft" Version)

  1. #1
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    RHD's Latest Top 150 Roto Prospects ("Pre-MLB Draft" Version)

    The 2018 MLB Draft is tonite and I wanted to do an update of my roto prospects list beforehand. A lot more changes than I was expecting.

    Same spiel as usual: I generally follow BA's prospect eligibility requirements, which are <=130 MLB AB or <=50 MLB IP. Unlike BA tho, amateurs, unsigned draftees and foreign players are eligible. Also, while BA has a different IP limit for relievers (30 IP?), relievers are eligible as long as they dont have >50 IP. As usual, this is for roto, not 'real' baseball, so pitchers are downgraded some, catchers downgraded somewhat (unless they're elite prospects and their bat will play at any position), and actual closers are upgraded a lot, SB guys who project to get playing time get upgraded some, and guys who either currently are or project to soon be regulars can get upgraded quite a bit. Position listed is their current primary one to the best of my knowledge (correct me if I'm wrong), not the one they're likely to end up at.

    I havent yet but I'll do a Google doc w the list and post the link.

    Rank Name Pos Org +/- Prev
    1 Vladimir Guerrero 3B Tor 3 4
    2 Shohei Ohtani SP LAA -1 1
    3 Ronald Acuna OF Atl -1 2
    4 Gleyber Torres SS NYY 2 6
    5 Juan Soto OF Was 32 37
    6 Fernando Tatis SS SD 1 7
    7 Eloy Jimenez OF CHW -2 5
    8 Victor Robles OF Was -5 3
    9 Bo Bichette SS Tor -1 8
    10 Kyle Tucker OF Hou -1 9
    11 Austin Meadows OF Pit 49 60
    12 Nick Senzel 2B Cin 0 12
    13 Alex Reyes SP StL 3 16
    14 Royce Lewis SS Min 5 19
    15 Brendan Rodgers SS Col -1 14
    16 Michael Kopech SP CHW -1 15
    17 Taylor Trammell OF Cin 4 21
    18 Willy Adames SS TB 4 22
    19 Austin Riley 3B Atl 38 57
    20 Mitch Keller SP Pit 5 25
    21 Forrest Whitley SP Hou 5 26
    22 MacKenzie Gore SP SD -2 20
    23 Hunter Greene SP Cin 4 27
    24 Luis Robert OF CHW 4 28
    25 Jo (Jordon) Adell OF LAA 8 33
    26 Jesus Sanchez OF TB 10 36
    27 Leodys Taveras OF Tex 8 35
    28 Jesus Luzardo SP Oak 43 71
    29 Sixto Sanchez SP Phi 14 43
    30 Austin Hays OF Bal -17 13
    31 Brandon Marsh OF LAA 17 48
    32 Franklin Barreto 2B Oak -8 24
    33 Alex Verdugo OF LAD -2 31
    34 Luis Urias 2B SD 28 62
    35 Anthony Alford OF Tor -6 29
    36 Jorge Mateo SS Oak 3 39
    37 Willie Calhoun OF Tex 1 38
    38 Ryan McMahon 1B Col -8 30
    39 Estevan Florial OF NYY -5 34
    40 Luiz Gohara SP Atl -22 18
    41 Mike Soroka SP Atl -1 40
    42 Brendan McKay SP TB 26 68
    43 Tyler O'Neill OF StL 34 77
    44 Jake Bauers 1B TB 7 51
    45 Keston Hiura 2B Mil 2 47
    46 Heliot Ramos OF SF -2 44
    47 Jahmai Jones 2B LAA -1 46
    48 Alex Kirilloff OF Min 64 112
    49 Michel Baez SP SD -17 32
    50 Yordan Alvarez OF Hou 13 63
    51 Fernando Romero SP Min 82 133
    52 Justus Sheffield SP NYY 22 74
    53 Kolby Allard SP Atl 19 72
    54 Dustin Fowler OF Oak -4 50
    55 Cristian Pache OF Atl 9 64
    56 Kyle Wright SP Atl -4 52
    57 Ian Anderson SP Atl -2 55
    58 Garrett Hampson SS Col 21 79
    59 Julio Pablo Martinez OF Tex 21 80
    60 Adrian Morejon SP SD 10 70
    61 Triston McKenzie SP Cle -20 41
    62 Nick Gordon SS Min 5 67
    63 Carter Kieboom SS Was 3 66
    64 Yusniel Diaz OF LAD 25 89
    65 Nick Madrigal 2B College NA NR
    66 Casey Mize SP College NA NR
    67 Kyle Lewis OF Sea -2 65
    68 Francisco Mejia C Cle -26 42
    69 Sandy Alcantara SP Mia 29 98
    70 Chris Paddack SP SD NA NR
    71 Griffin Canning SP LAA NA NR
    72 Christin Stewart OF Det 42 114
    73 Michael Chavis 3B Bos -15 58
    74 Franklin Perez SP Det -20 54
    75 Alec Hansen SP CHW -16 59
    76 Andres Gimenez SS NYM 32 108
    77 Matt Manning SP Det 19 96
    78 Touki Toussaint SP Atl 44 122
    79 Cal Quantrill SP SD -23 56
    80 Jon Duplantier SP Ari 4 84
    81 Brusdar Graterol SP Min 47 128
    82 Stephen Gonsalves SP Min 6 88
    83 Corbin Burnes SP Mil -10 73
    84 Monte Harrison OF Mia -39 45
    85 Dazmon Cameron OF Det -4 81
    86 Blake Rutherford OF CHW 5 91
    87 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Pit 7 94
    88 Corey Ray OF Mil 13 101
    89 Wander Javier SS Min -20 69
    90 Anderson Espinoza SP SD 3 93
    91 Kevin Maitan SS LAA -9 82
    92 Alex Faedo SP Det -16 76
    93 Dane Dunning SP CHW 25 118
    94 Ryan Mountcastle 3B Bal 5 99
    95 Beau Burrows SP Det 21 116
    96 Dylan Cease SP CHW 9 105
    97 Brent Honeywell SP TB 9 106
    98 A.J. Puk SP Oak 9 107
    99 Jarred Kelenic OF HS NA NR
    100 Travis Swaggerty OF College NA NR
    101 Alec Bohm 3B College NA NR
    102 Keibert Ruiz C LAD 29 131
    103 Chance Sisco C Bal 18 121
    104 Peter Alonso 1B NYM NA NR
    105 Josh Naylor 1B SD NA NR
    106 Seuly Matias OF KC NA NR
    107 Seranthony Dominguez RP Phi NA NR
    108 Jaime Barria SP LAA NA NR
    109 Dennis Santana SP LAD NA NR
    110 Freddy Peralta SP Mil NA NR
    111 Shane Bieber SP Cle NA NR
    112 Joey Lucchesi SP SD NA NR
    113 Max Fried SP Atl -27 86
    114 Yohander Mendez SP Tex 3 117
    115 Wander Franco SS TB 11 126
    116 Chris Shaw OF SF -3 113
    117 Bobby Bradley 1B Cle -39 78
    118 Bryse Wilson SP Atl 18 136
    119 Logan Allen SP SD 18 137
    120 David Peterson SP NYM NA NR
    121 Corbin Martin SP Hou NA NR
    122 Nate Pearson SP Tor 5 127
    123 Esteury Ruiz 2B SD 23 146
    124 Jeisson Rosario OF SD NA NR
    125 Myles Straw OF Hou NA NR
    126 Jose Siri OF Cin -26 100
    127 Randy Arozarena SS StL 14 141
    128 Jeren Kendall OF LAD -18 110
    129 Colton Welker 3B Col -18 111
    130 Brett Phillips OF Mil -40 90
    131 Greg Allen OF Cle NA NR
    132 Khalil Lee OF KC NA NR
    133 Tirso Ornelas OF SD NA NR
    134 Alexander Canario OF SF NA NR
    135 Hans Crouse SP Tex NA NR
    136 Shane Baz SP Pit 6 142
    137 J.D. Davis 3B Hou NA NR
    138 Joey Wentz SP Atl -3 135
    139 Jorge Guzman SP Mia -14 125
    140 JoJo Romero SP Phi -8 132
    141 Sean Reid-Foley SP Tor NA NR
    142 Luis Ortiz SP Mil -4 138
    143 Luis Escobar SP Pit 0 143
    144 Albert Abreu SP NYY -40 104
    145 Jasrado (Jazz) Chisholm SS Ari NA NR
    146 Bubba (Derek) Thompson OF Tex NA NR
    147 Zack Collins C CHW NA NR
    148 Matthew Liberatore SP HS NA NR
    149 Victor Victor Mesa OF FA-Cuba 1 150
    150 Yusei Kikuchi SP Japan NA NR

    Lost Eligibility (12):
    Lewis Brinson, Scott Kingery, Walker Buehler, J.P. Crawford, Jesse Winker, Jack Flaherty, Miguel Andujar, Jason Groome, Harrison Bader, Brandon Woodruff, Tyler Mahle, Christin Arroyo

    Eligibles Dropped off (20):
    Mickey Moniak (#92), Cole Tucker (#95), J.B. Bukauskas (#97), Trent Grisham (#102), Chance Adams (#103), Brian Anderson (#109), Garrett Whitley (#115), Pavin Smith (#119), Carson Kelly (#123), Adonis Medina (#124), Starling Heredia (#129), Yadier Alvarez (#130), Mitch White (#134), Brent Rooker (#139), Roman Quinn (#140), Jhailyn Ortiz (#144), Jose Adolis Garcia (#145), Nolan Jones (#147), Hunter Harvey (#148), James Kaprielian (#149)

    New Additions (32):
    Nick Madrigal (#65), Casey Mize (#66), Chris Paddack (#70), Griffin Canning (#71), Jarred Kelenic (#99), Travis Swaggerty (#100), Alec Bohm (#101), Peter Alonso (#104), Josh Naylor (#105), Seuly Matias (#106), Seranthony Dominguez (#107), Jaime Barria (#108), Dennis Santana (#109), Freddy Peralta (#110), Shane Bieber (#111), Joey Lucchesi (#112), David Peterson (#120), Corbin Martin (#121), Jeisson Rosario (#124), Myles Straw (#125), Greg Allen (#131), Khalil Lee (#132), Tirso Ornelas (#133), Alexander Canario (#134), Hans Crouse (#135), J.D. Davis (#137), Sean Reid-Foley (#141), Jasrado (Jazz) Chisholm (#145), Bubba (Derek) Thompson (#146), Zack Collins (#147), Matthew Liberatore (#148), Yusei Kikuchi (#150)

  2. #2
    MVP Erik's Avatar
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    As a Meadows owner, I am pleasantly surprised to see the huge jump for him. What was the rationale behind that?
    Quote Originally Posted by Kevin Seitzer View Post
    We pinch ran for Altuve specifically to screw over Mith's fantasy team.

  3. #3
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    I'm not rhd, but I'd guess it's related to his appearing to have earned a major league role; coming into the season with Polanco/Marte/Dickerson ahead of him it didn't look like he was going to have anywhere to play in the near future.
    In the best of times, our days are numbered, anyway. And it would be a crime against Nature for any generation to take the world crisis so solemnly that it put off enjoying those things for which we were presumably designed in the first place, and which the gravest statesmen and the hoarsest politicians hope to make available to all men in the end: I mean the opportunity to do good work, to fall in love, to enjoy friends, to sit under trees, to read, to hit a ball and bounce the baby.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Erik View Post
    As a Meadows owner, I am pleasantly surprised to see the huge jump for him. What was the rationale behind that?
    Thanx fo the response, Erik.

    Simply a matter of getting regular MLB playing time and making the most of it. Scouts have always believed in his talent and finally he's starting to prove them right. SSS but he's OPSing 1.202 in MLB. CAnt see Pittsburgh sitting him as long as he produces like this and if he keeps it up he's a guy I want on my roto team.

  5. #5
    Big Leaguer overkill94's Avatar
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    Thanks as always rhd.

    Might want to reconsider keeping Cal Quantrill in the top 100. As a college pitcher he should be seeing better results by now. Instead, he's got a career 4.13 ERA and 1.42 WHIP which is almost exactly what those stats are this year as well.

    Wanted to get your thoughts on Austin Dean as well. I just dropped Quantrill for him, mostly since the Marlins OF is wide open and he's sporting a .353/.421/.553 line between AA and AAA this year with almost the same amount of walks as strikeouts. His track record before this year was pretty unimpressive but I'm wondering if he added muscle or changed his swing or something.

  6. #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by overkill94 View Post
    Thanks as always rhd.

    Might want to reconsider keeping Cal Quantrill in the top 100. As a college pitcher he should be seeing better results by now. Instead, he's got a career 4.13 ERA and 1.42 WHIP which is almost exactly what those stats are this year as well.

    Wanted to get your thoughts on Austin Dean as well. I just dropped Quantrill for him, mostly since the Marlins OF is wide open and he's sporting a .353/.421/.553 line between AA and AAA this year with almost the same amount of walks as strikeouts. His track record before this year was pretty unimpressive but I'm wondering if he added muscle or changed his swing or something.
    Thanx for the response, overkill.

    Scouts are down on Quantrill somewhat and his results this year are unimpressive, hence the drop. I still expect him to be in an MLB rotation in the near future and rotation spots should be wide open in SD so he has potential in roto. BA's report says he has middle to TOR potential. That's good enough to keep him firmly in the Top 100 for now.

    I dont know if Dean has changed anything. He tore up AA this year but he's 25 y/o at the end of the year. BA didnt even have him in the Marlins' top 30, which is saying a lot since they have one of the very worst farm systems. Yeah, the Marlins OF is wide open so he could get a shot but he's not someone I would get excited about.

  7. #7
    With the draft this week, here's a quiz. I got the last five and 17 total.

    https://www.yardbarker.com/mlb/artic...z/s1__26561978

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    I know the short infielder is on the rebound with Betts, Altuve thriving, but does Madrigal have the power profile to be fantasy relevant to this extent?

  9. #9
    All Star Sour Masher's Avatar
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    RHD, I'm surprised you still rank Alford and Mateo so high. What do you make of their horrific, awful, no good 2018 seasons so far? The sample size of putrid is growing daily.

  10. #10
    Big Leaguer Hammer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ken View Post
    I know the short infielder is on the rebound with Betts, Altuve thriving, but does Madrigal have the power profile to be fantasy relevant to this extent?
    not really, considering Betts can play the infield from RF. that would make him either really tall or really fast.
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