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  1. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    Biden doesn't need Bloomberg, Buttigieg and...

    Biden doesn't need Bloomberg, Buttigieg and Klobuchar to leave the race before Super Tuesday to turn this into a veritable two-person contest with Sanders. He just needs them to finish below 15%...
  2. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    What poll is that? I think that may just be a...

    What poll is that? I think that may just be a polling average (of one new poll out today and one from back in early January). The one that came out today has Bloomberg inching ahead of Biden, whereas...
  3. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    Georgia, yes. Florida, it's definitely not good...

    Georgia, yes. Florida, it's definitely not good for Biden if he finishes behind Bloomberg, who actually got his first lead in any state poll in that Florida poll that came out today. If Biden loses...
  4. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    The biggest question left in the race, in my...

    The biggest question left in the race, in my opinion, is where the support of older/more traditional Black voters goes, particularly if Biden can't recover big time in SC. Per my own social media and...
  5. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    Absolutely not. The choice of VP needs to be a...

    Absolutely not. The choice of VP needs to be a strategic one based on data and polling that won't be reliable while the race remains crowded. And there may be a perceived need to create a "unity...
  6. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    Agreed. I think we're largely on the same page at...

    Agreed. I think we're largely on the same page at this point. The candidates should place the country and the party over their own ambition/self-interest and should drop out before Super Tuesday if...
  7. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    Unless their performances across IA and NH,...

    Unless their performances across IA and NH, combined with Biden's terrible showing, somehow convince Black voters who find Sanders unpalatable to hop to either Buttigieg or Klobuchar instead of...
  8. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    Here's my take. Unlike many others here, I still...

    Here's my take. Unlike many others here, I still feel positively about almost every one of the candidates still in this race. Every one of them has strong positives and a strategy to attract the...
  9. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    In my opinion, because it's essentially a binary...

    In my opinion, because it's essentially a binary result (the chances of anyone other than Trump or the Democratic nominee winning the election are essentially nil), I think it *should* be a binary...
  10. Replies
    12
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    255

    I love it!

    I love it!
  11. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    I agree. Moderate Democrats are very likely to...

    I agree. Moderate Democrats are very likely to support Sanders in the general election. I know my parents will, even though Sanders is probably their last choice among the field of legitimate...
  12. Thread: Election 2020

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    4,166
    Views
    135,218

    Yeah, that's pretty much my family and my wife's...

    Yeah, that's pretty much my family and my wife's family as well, but I'm not sure they have any real sense of what will move voters in swing states to come out and vote out Trump. I'm not entirely...
  13. Replies
    18
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    354

    India is a democracy, so the electorate there...

    India is a democracy, so the electorate there needs to insist upon it, just as in the US. As for China, that's tougher. But if all the other world powers are coming to the table, it should put some...
  14. Replies
    41
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    689

    Sanders

    Sanders
  15. Replies
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    689

    I think each of the candidates presents a unique...

    I think each of the candidates presents a unique set of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats with respect to first electability, second policy/platform, and third judgment/execution...
  16. Replies
    18
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    354

    That gets at the means and priorities debate that...

    That gets at the means and priorities debate that I referenced in my earlier answer, but on climate change I think it's na´ve to think that it can be addressed by individual countries within their...
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    354

    I view that as part of "the government can and...

    I view that as part of "the government can and must take action to … reduce suffering".
  18. Replies
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    354

    I think the Democratic Party today stands largely...

    I think the Democratic Party today stands largely for the perspective that the government can and must take action to enhance equity and reduce suffering. The difference between Democratic moderates...
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    It worked against the Lakers last night. And...

    It worked against the Lakers last night. And Covington was huge in his Rockets' debut. Meanwhile the TNT Hall of Famers were certain it will never work in the playoffs. We'll see.
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    History shows that "Party" means very little...

    History shows that "Party" means very little divorced from the specific times and political trends, as influenced by the rise and fall of particular leaders and movements. Republicans were the party...
  21. Replies
    41
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    689

    Absolutely. After Klobuchar and Yang finished 5th...

    Absolutely. After Klobuchar and Yang finished 5th and 6th, it's essentially coming down to Mayor Pete and four people in their 70s. That's his biggest advantage and differentiator at this point. I'm...
  22. Replies
    41
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    689

    It's still far more relevant experience for the...

    It's still far more relevant experience for the presidency than, say, real estate mogul/reality TV star.
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    41
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    689

    That's the most important point. Every single one...

    That's the most important point. Every single one of them would be worlds better than Trump. I don't even have to hesitate a second on that.
  24. Replies
    41
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    689

    Who are your Big Four? I see Sanders, Warren,...

    Who are your Big Four? I see Sanders, Warren, Biden, Buttigieg and Bloomberg as still relevant. (If Klobuchar can only finish fifth in Iowa, she's done, and Yang and Steyer were even worse.)
  25. Thread: Anti-vaxxers

    by B-Fly
    Replies
    44
    Views
    2,442

    Here's the deets: If your child is sick...

    Here's the deets:



    If your child is sick and you see the doctor and the doctor prescribes medicine and then you decline to give the medicine to your child while instead seeking advice from...
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