Looking for a way to say pick #150 is equal to a $_ player. I'm thinking there is a rule of thumb out there for this but I'm running into dead ends.
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Easy way to correlate ADP value to auction value?
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Originally posted by Moonlight J View PostLooking for a way to say pick #150 is equal to a $_ player. I'm thinking there is a rule of thumb out there for this but I'm running into dead ends.
Some people say winning isn't everything. I say those people never won anything.
Quitters never win, winners never quit, but those who never win AND never quit are idiots.
The last thing I want to do is hurt you...but it's still on the list.
Some people are like Slinkies, they are not really good for anything but they still bring a smile to your face when you push them down a flight of stairs.
"...relentless inevitability of Yankee glory." - The Onion
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Originally posted by Moonlight J View Postvery helpful - thanks!
It's an intelligent site. Not sure if you want to send a cease and desist order on the use of the "junkie" term though.Some people say winning isn't everything. I say those people never won anything.
Quitters never win, winners never quit, but those who never win AND never quit are idiots.
The last thing I want to do is hurt you...but it's still on the list.
Some people are like Slinkies, they are not really good for anything but they still bring a smile to your face when you push them down a flight of stairs.
"...relentless inevitability of Yankee glory." - The Onion
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Originally posted by Moonlight J View Postbtw, it is explained in a formula on p 47 of this year's Forecaster
Of course, I need to figure out how to run the formula
y=-9.81n(x)+57.8
(PS: You can run the equation using Excel or another spreadsheet program. Just set one cell as -9.8, the second cell as =LN("point to fourth cell"), the third cell as 57.8, the fourth cell as the ADP, the fifth cell as the product of the first cell times the second cell and the sixth cell as the sum of the third and fifth cells. Excel may make us less smart but it sure is useful when it comes to roto. LOL)Last edited by ThatRogue; 02-01-2011, 07:50 AM.2021 Auction Anatomy
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Originally posted by ThatRogue View PostIt's actually y=-9.8ln(x) + 57.8. That makes a HUGE difference. ;-)
(PS: You can run the equation using Excel or another spreadsheet program. Just set one cell as -9.8, the second cell as =LN("point to fourth cell"), the third cell as 57.8, the fourth cell as the ADP, the fifth cell as the product of the first cell times the second cell and the sixth cell as the sum of the third and fifth cells. Excel may make us less smart but it sure is useful when it comes to roto. LOL)
JAd Astra per Aspera
Oh. In that case, never mind. - Wonderboy
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I don't know if you guys are being willfully ignorant, but... - Judge Jude
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Originally posted by ThatRogue View PostIt's actually y=-9.8ln(x) + 57.8. That makes a HUGE difference. ;-)
(PS: You can run the equation using Excel or another spreadsheet program. Just set one cell as -9.8, the second cell as =LN("point to fourth cell"), the third cell as 57.8, the fourth cell as the ADP, the fifth cell as the product of the first cell times the second cell and the sixth cell as the sum of the third and fifth cells. Excel may make us less smart but it sure is useful when it comes to roto. LOL)
It does inflate the top values (Pujols $56) but it shows a r2 of +.93 which is significant enough to use and then fudge the factors at the top.
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Originally posted by Moonlight J View PostThat's what I ended up doing. I had the ADP value in cell A, cell B was =LN(A2), and then cell C is set up for =-9.8*(B2)+57.8
It does inflate the top values (Pujols $56) but it shows a r2 of +.93 which is significant enough to use and then fudge the factors at the top.Some people say winning isn't everything. I say those people never won anything.
Quitters never win, winners never quit, but those who never win AND never quit are idiots.
The last thing I want to do is hurt you...but it's still on the list.
Some people are like Slinkies, they are not really good for anything but they still bring a smile to your face when you push them down a flight of stairs.
"...relentless inevitability of Yankee glory." - The Onion
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Originally posted by Moonlight J View Post$56 for any player in a non-inflated auction is out of line.
ETA: Maybe others can chime in on the top prices in their non-keeper, $260 drafts.Last edited by TopChuckie; 02-01-2011, 11:13 AM.Some people say winning isn't everything. I say those people never won anything.
Quitters never win, winners never quit, but those who never win AND never quit are idiots.
The last thing I want to do is hurt you...but it's still on the list.
Some people are like Slinkies, they are not really good for anything but they still bring a smile to your face when you push them down a flight of stairs.
"...relentless inevitability of Yankee glory." - The Onion
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Originally posted by TopChuckie View PostIt's been a long time since I drafted in a non-keeper league, but I would not be shocked to see Pujols go for $56. In the Shandler 500 thread Todd said he bid Pujols up to $110, from Shandler's $53 starting price. Granted it's a much different format and budget, but it illustrates how some will extremely overbid the elite players.
ETA: Maybe others can chime in on the top prices in their non-keeper, $260 drafts.
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Originally posted by B-Fly View PostIn my local re-draft NL only auction league, Bonds and Pujols are the only players ever to top $50 in the 14 years I've been in the league, and only after we switched from AVG to OBP around 8 years ago. I believe I bought Bonds for $53 in 2003 and $51 in 2004 in that league. Somebody bought Pujols for $52 one year - can't recall which one.Some people say winning isn't everything. I say those people never won anything.
Quitters never win, winners never quit, but those who never win AND never quit are idiots.
The last thing I want to do is hurt you...but it's still on the list.
Some people are like Slinkies, they are not really good for anything but they still bring a smile to your face when you push them down a flight of stairs.
"...relentless inevitability of Yankee glory." - The Onion
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Originally posted by TopChuckie View PostIt's been a long time since I drafted in a non-keeper league, but I would not be shocked to see Pujols go for $56. In the Shandler 500 thread Todd said he bid Pujols up to $110, from Shandler's $53 starting price. Granted it's a much different format and budget, but it illustrates how some will extremely overbid the elite players.
ETA: Maybe others can chime in on the top prices in their non-keeper, $260 drafts.
And, I can pretty much guarantee someone will pay $56 for Pujols in a few of the 15 team NFBC auction championships. He won't average that, but he will go for that in at least one, probably a few leagues.Follow me on Twitter @ToddZola
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Originally posted by Todd Zola View Post
And, I can pretty much guarantee someone will pay $56 for Pujols in a few of the 15 team NFBC auction championships. He won't average that, but he will go for that in at least one, probably a few leagues.
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