Caucuses and Primaries.

[onejayhawk]

It's too soon for a general election thread, but Iowa is 35 days from now. I have three questions.

a) Who will win on both sides and why?
b) What will be the big surprise story of the caucuses?
c) How much impact will the results have on NH eight days later?

Spoiler!

Republican:
a) 1) Cruz, 2) Trump. Cruz has all the momentum. He is doing well enough that he is spending most of his time in Super Tuesday states.
b) I think the big surprise will be the size of the margin.
c) Considerably. Trump's lead may be too large to overcome in NH, but I expect Cruz to make a story of how well he performs on 9 Feb 2016.

Democrat:
a) Upset. Sanders over Hillary. Bernie ahs made a lot of progress. Hillary is seen as unlikeable and untrustworthy. Those are bad things for a candidate.
b) The upset.
c) None. Sanders already owns New Hampshire.

J